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油车更污染环境?最新研究:电动车全生命周期碳排放比燃油车低73%【附新能源汽车行业市场分析】
Qian Zhan Wang·2025-07-15 03:59

Core Viewpoint - The latest research from the International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT) indicates that electric vehicles (EVs) in Europe have a lifecycle greenhouse gas emission that is 73% lower than that of traditional gasoline vehicles, including emissions from battery production [2] Group 1: Lifecycle Emissions - Electric vehicles have a higher carbon footprint during the initial manufacturing phase due to battery production, approximately 40% higher than gasoline vehicles, but this difference is offset after driving about 17,000 kilometers [2] - From 2025 to 2044, the average carbon emissions for medium-sized electric vehicles in the EU are projected to be around 63 grams of CO2 equivalent per kilometer, compared to approximately 235 grams for gasoline vehicles, which includes tailpipe emissions and indirect emissions from fuel production and vehicle manufacturing [2] Group 2: Market Growth in China - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in China reached 31.6% in 2023, a significant increase from 2022, and is expected to rise to 40.3% in the first 11 months of 2024 [5] - In the first half of 2023, China's automotive industry saw a year-on-year growth of over 10% in multiple economic indicators, with NEV production and sales reaching 696.8 million and 693.7 million units respectively, marking a year-on-year increase of 41.4% and 40.3% [8] Group 3: Future Projections - It is anticipated that by 2025, the penetration rate of NEVs will reach 50%, with sales projected at approximately 16.5 million units; by 2030, the penetration rate is expected to be between 70% and 75% [9] - By 2035, the penetration rate of pure electric vehicles is expected to reach 85% to 90%, establishing a market structure of 333 for gasoline, hybrid, and pure electric vehicles [9]