Group 1 - The central bank's monetary policy is expected to maintain a moderately accommodative tone in the second half of the year despite a shift in language regarding rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio adjustments [1][2] - The foundation for economic recovery in China is still fragile, with uncertainties in external demand for the third quarter and expectations of a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September [1][2] - The central bank aims to enhance domestic demand, stabilize social expectations, and invigorate market activity to support the overall economic and social development goals for the year [1] Group 2 - China is not seeking to gain international competitive advantage through currency depreciation, reflecting the country's confidence and responsibility [2] - The removal of certain phrases regarding market behavior and the weakening of statements on preventing excessive currency fluctuations indicate a reduced risk of RMB depreciation [2] - The RMB/USD exchange rate is expected to trend towards stability and gradual appreciation in the future [2]
财信证券:下半年货币政策将维持适度宽松的总基调
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-15 05:14