Core Viewpoint - The domestic refined oil price adjustment window will open tonight at 24:00, with expectations of a price decrease due to fluctuations in international oil prices, marking the sixth reduction this year [1] Group 1: Price Adjustment Details - According to Zhaochuang Information, during the current pricing cycle (from July 1, 24:00 to July 15, 24:00), despite strong support for international oil prices due to summer demand in the U.S., concerns about oversupply have resurfaced following the easing of Middle Eastern geopolitical conflicts and an unexpected production increase agreement by OPEC+ [3] - It is predicted that on July 15 at 24:00, the retail price limits for gasoline and diesel will be reduced by 130 and 125 yuan per ton, respectively, translating to a decrease of 0.10, 0.11, and 0.11 yuan per liter for 92 gasoline, 95 gasoline, and 0 diesel [3] - The cost savings for consumers will be noticeable; for instance, filling a 50L tank of 92 gasoline will save approximately 5 yuan, and for a small private car with a monthly mileage of 2000 km and fuel consumption of 8L per 100 km, the fuel cost will decrease by about 7 yuan before the next price adjustment window on July 29 [3] Group 2: Future Market Outlook - Looking ahead, the international crude oil market remains supported by sustained demand in the U.S., with a significant support level at around 65 USD for WTI [4] - The recalculated crude oil change rate is currently at a low positive level, indicating that the potential price increase for the next adjustment is limited to only 10 yuan per ton, leading to considerable uncertainty regarding the next price adjustment window on July 29 [4]
暑期出行成本下降!今晚油价将迎年内第六次下调→
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-15 05:44