Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the target price for Giant Bio (02367) has been reduced from HKD 79.96 to HKD 73.54, corresponding to a projected P/E ratio of 29 times for 2025, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - Giant Bio's brands, Kefu Mei and Keli Jin, achieved a combined GMV of approximately RMB 1.08 billion on Tmall, Taobao, and Douyin from May to June, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2%. The strong sales in the first four months led to a rapid year-on-year growth of 38% in GMV for the first half of 2025 [1] - Despite a temporary slowdown in online sales growth due to public sentiment, the sales performance in May and June demonstrates the company's strong sales resilience in extreme conditions [1] Group 2 - The company is expected to gradually recover its sales as it increases promotional efforts and restores broadcast frequency, supported by a rich product portfolio and a dual-brand strategy that enhances its risk resilience [1] - The company is the first in China to scale the production of recombinant collagen skincare products, possessing deep technical expertise in the collagen field, which is considered a cornerstone for sales recovery [1] - Conservative estimates suggest that in the second half of 2025, online revenues for Kefu Mei and Keli Jin will grow by 10% and 35% year-on-year, respectively, with overall revenue growth for 2025 projected to slow to 23% [2]
招银国际：降巨子生物(02367)目标价至73.54港元 销售复苏在望 维持“买入”评级