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分析师称苹果首款折叠iPhone锁定三星方案 2026年量产铰链供应商或成最大赢家

Group 1 - Apple has officially decided to abandon its self-developed folding screen technology and will adopt Samsung Display's "no crease" display solution, with plans to mass-produce its first folding iPhone in the second half of 2026 [1] - The core goal of this technology shift is to address the long-standing "crease" issue associated with folding screens. Samsung's solution includes a metal support plate hinge designed by Fine M-Tec, which utilizes laser drilling technology to achieve micron-level structural design, controlling the crease width to within 0.01 millimeters [1] - Fine M-Tec is expected to start mass production of the hinge in the first quarter of 2026, with an estimated annual shipment volume of 13 to 15 million units. The actual demand for this component will be significantly higher than the terminal sales of the folding iPhone due to assembly yield and after-sales service needs [1] Group 2 - The first folding iPhone is reported to feature a horizontal "book-style" design, with an 8-inch display that boasts a 4K resolution, comparable to the display quality of the iPad mini [2] - The device will be equipped with the same TSMC 2nm A20 chip as the iPhone 18 Pro, a 5000mAh battery, and will integrate a Touch ID sensor into the power button to save internal space [2] - The starting price of the folding iPhone is predicted to exceed 15,000 RMB, making it the most expensive smartphone in Apple's history [2]