黄金行情分析：多空博弈下的结构性机遇与策略选择

Group 1 - The gold market is experiencing significant volatility, with domestic gold T+D prices at 774.37 RMB per gram, up 0.57% from the previous day, and international gold futures prices surpassing 3375 USD per ounce, rebounding nearly 2% from last week's low [1][3] - Geopolitical risks are escalating, particularly in the Middle East, with the Houthis launching 45 attacks on Israeli targets, leading to increased supply chain risks and a surge in safe-haven investments in gold [3][5] - Central banks globally have been increasing their gold reserves for eight consecutive months, with the People's Bank of China adding 70,000 ounces in June, and nearly 43% of central banks planning to increase reserves in the next year, supporting long-term gold prices [3][5] Group 2 - The market is witnessing a heated debate over monetary policy, with expectations for a rate cut in September rising above 90%, despite warnings from St. Louis Fed President Bullard about delayed inflation impacts from tariffs [3][6] - Technical analysis indicates that gold is oscillating between 3300 and 3380 USD, with a significant resistance level at 3380 USD and a support level around 3280 USD [4][6] - Gold trading platforms, such as Jinseng Precious Metals, are crucial for investors, offering features like smart alert functions that have helped investors achieve an average profit of 8% during recent market fluctuations [4][5] Group 3 - The acceleration of the global central bank de-dollarization process is expected to lead to over 500 tons of gold purchases in the first half of 2025, with emerging markets like China and India driving demand [5][6] - The hydrogen revolution is anticipated to significantly increase platinum demand, with the platinum market expected to enter a three-year shortage period starting in 2025 [5] - Jinseng Precious Metals offers a zero-commission policy and multi-market trading capabilities, allowing investors to engage in risk-free arbitrage when price differentials exceed 5 RMB per gram [5][6] Group 4 - Upcoming U.S. CPI data is expected to show a year-on-year increase of 3.1%, with core CPI rising by 0.3%, which could influence Federal Reserve rate cut expectations and subsequently gold prices [6][7] - Investment strategies suggest a buy-low, sell-high approach within the 3320-3380 USD range, with specific support and resistance levels outlined for trading [6][7] - The current gold market is at a critical juncture characterized by rising geopolitical risks and diverging policy expectations, with Jinseng Precious Metals providing diverse solutions for investors with varying risk appetites [7]