陈耀：上半年中西部固定资产投资加速，长期趋势特征已显现

Economic Overview - In the first half of the year, China's GDP reached 66,053.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.3% [1] - The primary industry added value was 31,172 billion yuan, growing by 3.7%; the secondary industry added value was 239,050 billion yuan, growing by 5.3%; and the tertiary industry added value was 390,314 billion yuan, growing by 5.5% [1] Investment Trends - National fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) totaled 248,654 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.8% [3] - Investment in the eastern region decreased by 0.8%, while the central region grew by 3.2% and the western region grew by 4.8% [3] Policy Effects and Structural Adjustments - The current investment trends reflect both short-term policy effects and long-term structural adjustments, with significant support for the central and western regions through policies like "Western Development" and "Central Region Acceleration" [4] - Major projects in the central and western regions, such as the Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle, are contributing to increased investment [4] Long-term Trends - There is a long-term trend of industrial transfer from east to west, particularly for labor-intensive and resource-processing industries [5] - The central and western regions are experiencing urbanization and market expansion, attracting more investment, while the northeast faces challenges such as population outflow and traditional industry decline [5] Industrial Investment Dynamics - In the industrial sector, investment in equipment manufacturing grew by 10.2%, and high-tech manufacturing grew by 9.5%, both outpacing overall industrial growth [6] - The service sector saw significant growth, with information transmission, software, and IT services growing by 11.1% [6] Policy Recommendations - To support the transition from traditional to new economic drivers, there is a need for increased government support for basic research and digital transformation of traditional industries [6] - The focus should be on expanding market applications for strategic emerging industries and enhancing government procurement for new energy equipment [7] Regional Development Strategies - It is essential to guide the central and western regions to undertake high-value-added segments of the supply chain, rather than just assembly [7] - The eastern regions should strengthen pilot projects in future industries like artificial intelligence and quantum computing to create a demonstration effect [7]