Core Viewpoint - Domestic gold prices have decreased by 0.42% to 774.92 RMB per gram, while international gold prices have slightly increased by 0.01% to 3337.1 USD per ounce, indicating a mixed market sentiment influenced by various factors [1][2]. Group 1: Tariff Policy - Trump's tariff policy is a significant driver of gold price fluctuations, with threats of high tariffs on the EU and Mexico raising concerns about global trade dynamics [2]. - The EU's potential retaliatory tariffs could exacerbate inflation, which would be favorable for gold prices, although short-term market sentiment remains cautious as investors await more details [2]. - Trump's announcement of sending tariff letters to smaller countries, with rates possibly exceeding 10%, may provide some support for gold prices as a safe-haven asset [2]. Group 2: Inflation Data and Federal Reserve Policy - The U.S. June CPI showed the largest month-on-month increase since January, leading to slight adjustments in market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, with a projected reduction of about 44 basis points by year-end [3]. - The probability of a rate cut in September has decreased to 53%, and Powell's vigilance regarding inflation suggests a cautious approach from the Fed [3]. - The moderate rise in inflation data did not exceed expectations, resulting in a stronger dollar index and a six-week high in U.S. Treasury yields, which has pressured gold prices [3]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis - The gold market is experiencing frequent short-term volatility, with key technical levels such as 3375 USD acting as strong resistance and the 3330-3350 USD range serving as significant support [4]. - Market sentiment remains cautious as investors await clarity on tariff policies and economic data, with speculative positions impacting price movements [4]. - Retail investors are advised to be cautious of chasing prices, as this could lead to unfavorable outcomes [4]. Group 4: Price Outlook - Short-term gold prices are expected to be influenced by tariff policies, inflation data, and market sentiment, leading to significant volatility [5]. - The uncertainty surrounding tariff policies provides both support as a safe haven and pressure due to market caution [5]. - Long-term factors such as central bank gold purchases, increasing demand for gold, and its properties as a hedge against inflation are expected to support gold prices, with a potential for upward movement in the long run [5].
2025年7月16日，国内黄金9995价格多少钱一克？
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-16 00:55