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连连数字(02598.HK):全球化牌照与稳定币创新双轮驱动 跨境支付巨头迎盈利拐点

Core Viewpoint - LianLian Digital, a leading cross-border digital payment platform in China, has achieved robust growth through global expansion and technological innovation, with plans for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 2024 to enhance its international competitiveness [1] Financial Performance - The company has built a payment network covering seven core global markets since its establishment in 2009 [1] - From 2020 to 2024, the revenue CAGR is projected to be 22%, with the core global payment business maintaining a gross margin above 70% [1] - Despite short-term pressure on overall gross margin due to business restructuring, losses have been continuously narrowing [1] - In 2024, total revenue is expected to reach 1.315 billion yuan, with global payment business revenue growing by 23.1% year-on-year to 808 million yuan and TPV exceeding 281.5 billion yuan [2] Market and Policy Environment - The payment industry is entering a new phase of compliance and digitalization driven by both policy and market forces [1] - The State Council of China issued the "Regulations on the Supervision and Administration of Non-Bank Payment Institutions" in 2023, which raises entry barriers and strengthens regulation, favoring capital-rich companies [1] - According to Frost & Sullivan, the global cross-border e-commerce GMV is expected to grow at a CAGR of 19.3%, with China's digital payment market TPV projected to reach 354.1 trillion yuan by 2027 [1] - LianLian Digital holds a 9.1% market share as the largest independent payment provider in China, leveraging its licensing advantages [1] Innovation and Strategic Development - The company is enhancing its leading position in cross-border payments through high R&D investment and strategic partnerships [2] - It is exploring next-generation payment solutions using Web 3.0 and stablecoin technologies, indicating a strategic shift from a payment service provider to a digital ecosystem platform [2] - The passage of the "Stablecoin Regulation Draft" in Hong Kong is expected to further drive industry innovation, providing merchants with new opportunities for rate optimization and business closure [1]