若普京50天内不停火，美国将制裁中印？特朗普的恐吓伎俩没意义

Core Points - Trump's ultimatum to Russia includes a 50-day deadline for a peace agreement with Ukraine, failing which the U.S. will impose 100% tariffs and secondary sanctions on countries buying Russian oil [1][3] - The U.S. plans to provide Ukraine with a complete set of weapons, potentially including 17 Patriot missile systems, with costs to be borne by Europe [1][10] Summary by Sections Tariff Threat - Trump's threat to impose 100% tariffs on Russia is seen as lacking practical significance, given that over 20,000 sanctions are already in place, and trade between the U.S. and Russia is minimal [3][11] - The effectiveness of this tariff threat is questioned, as Russia is unlikely to yield to U.S. pressure without losing international credibility [3][11] Secondary Sanctions - The secondary sanctions are primarily aimed at China and India, the main buyers of Russian oil, with China importing 108 million tons of crude oil from Russia in 2024, marking a third consecutive year of growth [6] - Previous attempts by the Biden administration to cut off Russian energy revenue through sanctions have not significantly impacted Russia's energy exports, raising doubts about the effectiveness of Trump's approach [6][11] Military Aid to Ukraine - The announcement of providing 17 Patriot missile systems to Ukraine is met with skepticism, as U.S. military sources indicate a shortage of these systems for high-end combat needs [10] - The feasibility of supplying advanced weaponry like the Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missile (JASSM) is also questioned, with media suggesting that such promises may not be realized [10][11] Market Reaction - Market responses indicate that Trump's threats have not caused significant turmoil in Russia, which appears to have adapted to existing sanctions and found ways to cope with economic pressures [11]