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低估美国会吃大亏!美国重建稀土产业链,绕开中国是迟早的事情?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-16 06:58

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the U.S. has the capability to revitalize its rare earth supply chain, similar to what was done in the 1960s and 1970s, and the question is not if but when the U.S. can achieve this independence from China [1] - The U.S. is accelerating the establishment of an independent rare earth pricing mechanism to encourage domestic investment and reduce reliance on China [1][3] - The Trump administration has invested significantly in MP Materials, the only domestic rare earth miner, to bypass Chinese control and promote U.S. independence in critical materials [3] Group 2 - China has responded by tightening its rare earth regulations, including limiting the extraction of heavy rare earths and potentially requiring Western importers to order directly from China [5] - The challenges of extracting rare earths outside of China include not only time but also cost, leading to increased caution from countries like those in Central Asia [5] - Countries dependent on rare earths, such as those in Europe, Japan, and South Korea, face a dilemma: either establish stable supply relationships with China or wait for the U.S. to rebuild its supply chain [5] Group 3 - Observations suggest that the U.S. may use rare earths as a strategic weapon, while China maintains a friendly diplomatic approach and avoids weaponizing its exports [6] - The U.S. domestic production of rare earths may be a short-term solution and may not be sustainable due to the complexities of rare earth extraction [7] - The U.S. may only be able to mine certain rare earths, with critical resources like dysprosium still needing to be imported from China [10] Group 4 - China's leadership position in the rare earth sector is expected to strengthen, especially as rare earths are a significant factor in U.S.-China relations [12] - Regardless of future international developments, it is believed that only the U.S. and China can effectively address global economic and resource issues, leaving other countries at the mercy of their competition [14]