特朗普声称要向普京开刀，威胁对俄征100%关税，俄罗斯方回应了

Core Viewpoint - The recent shift in Trump's stance towards Russia, from seeking business cooperation to threatening 100% tariffs, raises questions about the changing international landscape and the effectiveness of such sanctions [1][3]. Group 1: Trump's Tariff Threat - Trump announced a plan involving weapon aid to Ukraine and a threat of 100% tariffs on Russia if a peace agreement is not reached within 50 days [1]. - The bilateral trade volume between the US and Russia is only $3.5 billion in 2024, making the tariff threat less impactful for Russia, which is already under heavy sanctions [1][3]. - Trump's reliance on tariffs as a tool for international intervention reflects his background as a businessman, but the effectiveness of this approach is uncertain given the current geopolitical complexities [3]. Group 2: Impact on International Relations - The proposed tariffs may primarily affect countries that trade with Russia, such as China and India, potentially leading to broader trade implications [3]. - Trump's actions appear to be a political maneuver to gain support domestically and from European allies, rather than a straightforward economic strategy [3][6]. - The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict is more complex than the tariff threats suggest, with Russia's strategic goals remaining clear despite international sanctions [4]. Group 3: Domestic and International Reactions - There is growing discontent among the Ukrainian populace regarding the prolonged conflict, which could complicate any increased military aid from the US [6]. - Russia's response indicates a lack of fear towards Trump's threats, suggesting they are prepared for continued pressure from the US [6][8]. - The situation highlights the limitations of sanctions and military aid in resolving deep-rooted geopolitical conflicts, emphasizing that true outcomes will depend on the evolving battlefield dynamics [6][8].