Core Viewpoint - The precious metals market is experiencing a perfect rotation with silver prices surging significantly, outperforming gold and platinum in recent months [1][2]. Group 1: Silver Price Surge - Silver prices have seen a dramatic increase, reaching over $39 per ounce, marking a 14-year high, with a year-to-date increase of 33%, surpassing gold's 27% rise [1][2]. - As of July 15, the Shanghai Futures Exchange's silver futures price rose to 9,225 yuan per kilogram, with a year-to-date increase of 23.5% [2]. Group 2: Drivers of Silver's Rise - The surge in silver prices is attributed to industrial demand driven by the acceleration of global energy transition and geopolitical risks, leading to increased investment in precious metals [3][6]. - The global photovoltaic market is expected to see a significant increase in silver demand, with projections of over 600 GW of new installations by 2025 [3]. Group 3: Sources of Investment Flow - Recent inflows into the silver market are primarily from institutional investors and individual investors, with a notable increase in silver ETF holdings and speculative positions in futures markets [4]. - As of July 14, the largest silver ETF, SLV, reported a holding of 14,966.24 tons, marking a peak for the year [4]. Group 4: Future Price Expectations - The World Silver Association forecasts that silver prices could reach $40 per ounce by the end of the year, driven by strong industrial demand and investment inflows [5][7]. - Analysts predict that silver's price will continue to rise due to supply constraints and robust industrial demand, particularly from green technologies [6][7]. Group 5: Market Dynamics and Trends - The silver market is currently experiencing a structural deficit, with industrial demand expected to remain strong, particularly in sectors like electric vehicles and solar energy [7][8]. - Despite some cautious outlooks regarding short-term price movements, there is an expectation that silver will outperform gold in the long run as economic growth accelerates [9].
贵金属“击鼓传花”，白银接力年内飙涨33%
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-16 07:41