超支30%，美联储总部翻修耗资25亿！特朗普借此威胁解雇鲍威尔？

Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration is leveraging the cost overruns of the Federal Reserve's headquarters renovation, which exceeded the initial budget by 30% to reach $2.5 billion, as a potential reason to dismiss Fed Chairman Jerome Powell [1][3][5]. Summary by Sections Renovation Cost Overruns - The renovation project, initiated in 2017, had an initial budget of $1.9 billion but ballooned to $2.5 billion by 2025, marking a 30% increase in costs [3]. - Republican lawmakers criticized the project for including luxurious features, likening it to the renovation of the Palace of Versailles [4]. Political Implications - The Trump administration has called for a congressional investigation into the renovation, suggesting that if the allegations are substantiated, Powell should resign [5]. - Trump has publicly stated that the renovation costs could justify Powell's dismissal, indicating a strong discontent with Powell's performance [6][7]. Fed's Independence and Powell's Response - Legally, the President can only dismiss the Fed Chairman for "serious misconduct," and policy disagreements do not qualify as such [12]. - Powell has requested an independent review of the renovation and has denied the luxury allegations, emphasizing that the renovations were necessary for safety compliance [12]. Alternative Strategies for Trump - If dismissal is not feasible, Trump may announce a successor to influence market expectations and undermine Powell's authority [15]. - The administration could also use the congressional investigation to shape public opinion and pressure Powell to resign [16]. Market Reactions and Economic Consequences - Analysts warn that if Powell is forced out, it could lead to significant market turmoil, with potential declines in the dollar and stock market [18]. - The erosion of the Fed's independence could trigger a loss of confidence in the dollar system globally, with gold prices potentially surging [19]. - The situation could set a dangerous precedent for presidential intervention in monetary policy, increasing inflation risks and the likelihood of economic recession [20][21].