Core Viewpoint - The company has shown significant growth in its bidding amounts for infrastructure projects, indicating a strong focus on its core business and a positive outlook for future orders [2][4]. Group 1: Bidding Performance - In Q2, the company achieved a total bidding amount of 37.559 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 25% [2]. - For the first half of the year, the cumulative bidding amount reached 72.24 billion yuan, up 22.2% year-on-year [2]. - The infrastructure sector accounted for 61.74 billion yuan of the total bidding in the first half, reflecting a growth of 25.88% [2]. - The construction sector saw a cumulative bidding amount of 10.412 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 4.34% [2]. - Other business areas experienced a slight decline, with a cumulative bidding amount of 0.89 billion yuan, down 4.37% year-on-year [2]. Group 2: Future Project Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the gradual rollout of highway projects in Sichuan Province in the second half of 2024, with multiple highway projects already won as an investor [2][3]. - A total of 36 highway projects were introduced in June 2024, covering approximately 4,100 kilometers and involving a total investment of about 840 billion yuan [2]. - The company successfully won bids for eight highway projects with a total investment exceeding 260 billion yuan [2]. Group 3: Industry Growth Potential - The total scale of highways in Sichuan Province is projected to reach approximately 20,000 kilometers by 2035, indicating sustained demand for construction [3]. - In 2024, Sichuan is expected to complete the construction of 507 kilometers of new highways, bringing the total operational mileage to 10,310 kilometers, ranking third in the country [3]. - The company anticipates that project preparations will accelerate in the second half of 2024, leading to increased order conversion during the peak construction periods in Q3 and Q4 [3]. Group 4: Dividend and Valuation - The company plans to increase its dividend payout ratio from 50% to 60% for 2025, maintaining this level through 2027 [4]. - If the company achieves an estimated profit of 8 billion yuan in 2025, the corresponding dividend yield would exceed 6% [4]. - The projected earnings for 2025-2027 are estimated at 8.29 billion, 9.25 billion, and 10.4 billion yuan, respectively, with current valuations of 9.03, 8.09, and 7.19 times [4].
四川路桥(600039):二季度订单加速增长 省内基建持续景气