建筑装饰行业周报 中央经济会议定调"双宽松" ，增量政策 及重点工程有望推进 2025 年 12 月 16 日 【投资要点】 【配置建议】 挖掘价值 投资成长 强于大市（维持） 东方财富证券研究所 证券分析师：王翩翩 证书编号：S1160524060001 证券分析师：郁晾 证书编号：S1160524100004 相对指数表现 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 2024/12 2025/6 2025/12 建筑装饰 沪深300 相关研究 《六部门联合发布促进消费方案，推荐机 器人转型企业》 2025.12.01 《美方就结束俄乌冲突提出 28 点新计划， 继续关注"一带一路"周边地区出海》 2025.11.24 《10 月固投延续下滑，适度宽松的货币政 策持续发力，看好战略工程推进》 《沉潜与时近，古韵焕新声》 2025.11.16 《武桐树再签战略合作协议，继续看好新 质生产力转型方向》 2025.11.10 行 业 研 究 / 建 筑 装 饰 / 证 券 研 究 报 告 2025.11.20 板块行情回顾：上周建筑装饰（SW）指数下跌 1.59%，其中园林工程 （+1.74%）、基建市政工 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [2][25]. Core Insights - Fixed asset investment in China showed a cumulative year-on-year decline of 2.6% from January to November 2025, with manufacturing investment increasing by 1.9% [2][3]. - Traditional infrastructure investment has seen a widening decline, necessitating a stabilization of investment. Infrastructure investment (including all categories) grew by only 0.1% year-on-year, a decrease of 1.4 percentage points compared to the previous month [4][3]. - Real estate investment remains low, with a year-on-year decline of 15.9% from January to November 2025, indicating a weak recovery trajectory [11][3]. Summary by Sections Fixed Asset Investment - The cumulative year-on-year decline in fixed asset investment is 2.6%, with a decrease of 0.9 percentage points from the previous month [3]. - Manufacturing investment has increased by 1.9%, but this is still a decline of 0.8 percentage points compared to the previous month [2]. Infrastructure Investment - Infrastructure investment (excluding electricity) has a year-on-year decline of 1.1%, with a decrease of 1.0 percentage points from the previous month [4]. - Specific sectors such as transportation, storage, and postal services saw a decline of 0.1%, while water, environment, and public facilities management experienced a decline of 6.3% [4]. Regional Investment Trends - Eastern regions reported a year-on-year decline of 6.6%, while central and western regions saw declines of 1.7% and 0.2%, respectively. The northeastern region faced a significant decline of 14.0% [4]. Real Estate Investment - Real estate investment has decreased by 15.9% year-on-year, with construction starts down by 20.5% and completions down by 18.0% [11]. - The current cycle is characterized by excessive clearing of supply entities and difficulties in inventory replenishment, leading to a slow recovery in investment [11]. Investment Recommendations - For 2026, the industry is expected to stabilize, with emerging sectors likely to benefit from major national strategies. Key companies to watch include Sichuan Road and Bridge, China Chemical, and others in new infrastructure and overseas markets [16].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the sector [1]. Core Insights - Fixed asset investment growth in China has further declined, with a cumulative year-on-year decrease of 2.6% for January to November 2025, a drop of 0.9 percentage points compared to the previous period [2][3]. - Traditional infrastructure investment has seen an expanded decline, necessitating measures to stabilize investment. Infrastructure investment (including all categories) grew by only 0.1% year-on-year, down 1.4 percentage points from the previous month [4]. - Real estate investment remains low, with a year-on-year decrease of 15.9% for January to November 2025, indicating a weak recovery trajectory [11]. Summary by Sections Fixed Asset Investment - The cumulative year-on-year growth rate for fixed asset investment is -2.6%, with manufacturing investment showing a slight increase of 1.9% [2][3]. - The decline in traditional infrastructure investment has intensified, with significant drops in various sectors, including transportation and public facilities [4]. Infrastructure Investment - Infrastructure investment (excluding electricity) has decreased by 1.1% year-on-year, with notable declines in transportation and environmental management sectors [4]. - Regional investment disparities are evident, with the eastern region experiencing a 6.6% decline year-on-year [4]. Real Estate Investment - Real estate investment has decreased by 15.9% year-on-year, with construction starts down by 20.5% and completions down by 18.0% [11]. - The report anticipates a slow recovery in real estate investment due to challenges in inventory replenishment and supply chain issues [11]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that in 2026, industry investment is expected to stabilize, with emerging sectors likely to benefit from national strategic initiatives [15]. - Specific companies are highlighted for potential investment, including Sichuan Road and Bridge, China Chemical, and others in the new infrastructure and overseas markets [15].

Investment Rating - The report rates the construction engineering industry as "Overweight" [1] Core Insights - The central economic work conference emphasizes the need to stabilize investment and implement major projects to support economic growth [3][4] - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) urges central enterprises to actively promote the implementation of significant projects to ensure stable supply and prices of essential products [5][6] - The Ministry of Finance highlights the importance of government investment in driving economic recovery and encourages the issuance of long-term special bonds to support major construction projects [6] Summary by Sections Recent Key Reports - The report discusses the need for high-demand, high-barrier, and high-profit leading companies in the construction sector, recommending sectors such as AI, controlled nuclear fusion, and low-altitude economy [11][13] - It notes that the construction industry has seen a decline in net profit, with a 10% year-on-year decrease in the first three quarters [15][16] Key Company Recommendations - Recommended companies include China State Construction (dividend yield 5.25%), China Railway (dividend yield 4.80%), and China Communications Construction (dividend yield 1.92%) [9][29] - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong dividend yields and stable growth, particularly in the context of debt reduction and anti-competitive policies [12][29] Macro/Meso/Micro Data - The report indicates a projected increase in broad infrastructure funding by 7.3% in 2025, driven by government bonds and domestic loans [32][34] - It highlights the importance of private capital participation in infrastructure projects to enhance funding and project execution [28]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the acceleration of bidding for nuclear fusion projects and the operational launch of the Liebherr Nantong base, focusing on nuclear power and marine engineering modules [6][15][28] - The report highlights the structural recovery of infrastructure investment, particularly in Sichuan and Xinjiang, and recommends investments in low-valuation central state-owned enterprises [6][34] - The report tracks the development of cleanroom technology and the increasing capital expenditure of Taiwanese electronics companies in the U.S., indicating a trend of the Taiwanese supply chain moving to the U.S. [6][34] Group 1: Nuclear Fusion and Power Projects - The signing of a joint statement between China and France on December 4, 2025, promotes the development of nuclear power, recognizing nuclear fusion energy as a significant direction for future energy development [6][15] - The Liebherr Nantong base is expected to achieve an annual output value of CNY 560 million for nuclear modules and CNY 640 million for oil and gas energy modules, addressing the decline in traditional chemical business demand [6][28] - The report notes that the modular construction method in nuclear power can significantly shorten construction periods, with the Liebherr Nantong base now operational [6][28] Group 2: Cleanroom and Coal Chemical Industry - The report tracks the cleanroom sector, noting that TSMC plans to invest USD 165 billion in capital expenditures in the U.S., with Foxconn and Wistron also planning significant investments [6][34] - In the coal chemical sector, projects are progressing steadily, with Xinjiang remaining a primary investment area, including a 1.5 million tons/year coal-to-ethylene project [6][34] - The average price of medium and heavy plates in 13 regions decreased by 0.9%, while rebar prices fell by 1.0%, indicating a slight decline in steel prices [6][34] Group 3: Financial Tracking and Investment Recommendations - The report indicates that special bonds issued for refinancing have reached CNY 2.01 trillion, with a cumulative issuance of CNY 4.5 trillion in special bonds for the year, reflecting a 13.8% year-on-year increase [6][34] - The report recommends focusing on four main investment lines: infrastructure recovery, safety resources, technology in high-end manufacturing, and overseas business opportunities [6][34] - The funding availability rate for construction sites is reported at 59.74%, showing a slight increase from the previous week [6][34]

袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@swsresearch.com 唐猛 A0230523080003 tangmeng@swsresearch.com 研究支持 唐猛 A0230523080003 tangmeng@swsresearch.com 联系人 建筑装饰 2025 年 12 月 14 日 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 唐猛 A0230523080003 tangmeng@swsresearch.com 推动投资止跌回稳，积极有序化解政府债务 看好 ——申万宏源建筑周报（20251208-20251212） 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 行 业 及 产 业 - ⚫ 一周板块回顾：板块表现方面，SW 建筑装饰指数-1.59%，沪深 300 指 数-0.08%，相对收益为-1.51pct。周涨幅最大的三个子行业分别为专业 工程（+0.73%）、基建央企（-1.86%）、基建国企（-2.08%），对应行业 内三个公司：亚翔集成（+25.20%）、中国核建（+6. ...

Group 1: Industry Overview - The overall economic environment is expected to remain stable in 2026, supported by policies aimed at counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments, with a projected growth rate of fixed asset investment (FAI) at 3% for the year [1][12][17] - Infrastructure investment is anticipated to grow by approximately 5% in 2026, driven by key projects and policy support, while real estate investment is expected to decline by 10% after a significant drop in 2025 [1][17][25] - Manufacturing investment is projected to recover slightly, with a growth rate of 6% in 2026, benefiting from domestic demand and supportive policies [1][18] Group 2: Overseas Expansion - There is a strong demand for overseas investment, particularly in regions like Southeast Asia, Africa, and the Middle East, which are experiencing rapid economic growth and urbanization [2][4] - Chinese engineering firms have competitive advantages such as shorter construction periods, higher efficiency, and lower costs, positioning them well for overseas projects [2][4] - The share of overseas income for leading companies is expected to increase, driving improvements in profitability and business models [2][4] Group 3: Regional Opportunities - The "Five Five Five" strategy is expected to create abundant investment opportunities in the western regions of China, particularly in Sichuan and Xinjiang, which are set to benefit from national strategic support [2][4][3] - Sichuan is identified as a core area for national strategic development, with significant investments anticipated in transportation infrastructure, manufacturing, and technology [2][4][3] - Xinjiang's development is crucial for national energy security and unity, with expected increases in investment in infrastructure and coal chemical industries [2][4][3] Group 4: Cleanroom Investment - The demand for cleanroom facilities is projected to grow due to the increasing need for computing power driven by AI applications, with global semiconductor cleanroom investment expected to reach approximately 168 billion yuan in 2025 [3][4] - The semiconductor industry is forecasted to see a capital expenditure of around 160 billion USD in 2025, reflecting a 3% year-on-year increase [3][4] - Leading companies in the cleanroom sector are expected to maintain high levels of capital expenditure, driven by the demand for AI and data center infrastructure [3][4] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong overseas expansion capabilities, such as China Chemical, Precision Steel Structure, Jianghe Group, China National Materials, and China Steel International [4][8] - In the context of regional development, companies like Sichuan Road and Bridge, Xinjiang Communications Construction, and China Chemical are highlighted as key players [4][8] - For cleanroom investments, leading firms such as Yaxin Integration, Shenghui Integration, and Bocheng Co. are recommended for their growth potential [4][8]

四川路桥建设集团股份有限公司章程 （2025 年 1 2 月修订） 目 录 第一节 财务会计制度 1 第一章 总则 第二章 经营宗旨和范围 第三章 股份 第一节 股份发行 第二节 股份增减和回购 第三节 股份转让 第四章 股东和股东会 第一节 股东 第二节 控股股东和实际控制人 第三节 股东会 第四节 股东会的召集 第五节 股东会的提案与通知 第六节 股东会的召开 第七节 股东会的表决和决议 第五章 公司党组织 第六章 董事和董事会 第一节 董事 第二节 董事会 第三节 独立董事 第四节 董事会专门委员会 第七章 高级管理人员 第八章 职工民主管理与劳动人事制度 第九章 财务会计制度、利润分配和审计 第二节 内部审计 第三节 会计师事务所的聘任 第二节 公告 第十一章 合并、分立、增资、减资、解散和清算 第一章 总则 第一条 为规范四川路桥建设集团股份有限公司（以下简称公司）的组织和 行为，坚持和加强党的全面领导，完善公司法人治理结构，建设中国特色现代国 有企业制度，维护股东、公司、职工、债权人的合法权益，依据《中华人民共和 国公司法》（以下简称《公司法》）《中华人民共和国证券法》（以下简称《证 券法》）《中 ...

二、独立董事对《关于公司预计 2026 年度日常性关联 交易金额的议案》的审查意见 第八届董事会独立董事 2025 年第九次专门会议 四川路桥建设集团股份有限公司 四川路桥建设集团股份有限公司 第八届董事会独立董事 2025 年第九次专门会议的 审查意见 根据《上市公司独立董事管理办法》有关规定，四川路 桥建设集团股份有限公司（以下简称公司）于 2025 年 12 月 12 日在公司以现场方式召开了第八届董事会独立董事 2025 年第九次专门会议。会议应到独立董事 4 人，实到独立董事 4 人。会议由独立董事李光金主持。本次会议的召集、召开 和表决程序符合《上市公司独立董事管理办法》的规定，就 审议事项发表如下审查意见： 一、独立董事对《关于签订日常关联交易协议（2026 年-2028 年）的议案》的审查意见 经讨论，《关于签订日常关联交易协议（2026 年-2028 年）的议案》符合公司业务发展需要，不会对公司的独立性 产生影响，不存在损害公司及股东特别是中小股东利益的情 形。因此，我们同意将本事项提交公司第八届董事会第六十 五次会议审议，且关联董事应回避表决。 表决结果：四票赞成，零票反对，零票弃权。 表 ...

证券代码：600039 证券简称：四川路桥 公告编号：2025-132 四川路桥建设集团股份有限公司 关于预计 2026 年度日常关联交易的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 本次董事会应出席董事 10 名，实际出席 10 名，公司高级管理人员列席了会 议，会议的召开符合《公司法》和公司《章程》的有关规定。公司关联董事孙立 成、池祥成对上述议案回避表决，非关联董事（包括 4 名独立董事）一致同意该 议案。 公司第八届董事会独立董事 2025 年第九次专门会议审议通过了《关于公司 预计 2026 年度日常性关联交易金额的议案》，一致认为公司 2026 年度日常关联 1 证券代码：600039 证券简称：四川路桥 公告编号：2025-132 需提交公司股东会审议。 日常关联交易对上市公司的影响：为满足公司正常生产经营需要，不会 损害中小股东利益，不会对关联方形成较大依赖。 一、日常关联交易基本情况 （一）日常关联交易履行的审议程序 2025 年 12 月 12 日，四川路桥建设集团股份有限公司（以 ...