Prologis Boosts 2025 Outlook on Growth

Core Insights - Prologis reported Q2 2025 core FFO of $1.46 per share and occupancy at 95.1%, exceeding internal forecasts despite market challenges [1] - The company raised its core FFO guidance for FY2025 to $5.75–$5.85 per share, an increase of $0.45 at the midpoint, and development start guidance to $2.25–$2.75 billion for 2025 [1][9] Development and Leasing Activity - First-half development starts reached a record $1.1 billion, with nearly 65% of new starts in Q2 2025 being build-to-suit projects [3][4] - The leasing pipeline increased by 19% year over year, totaling 130 million square feet, with strong demand for larger deals and activity from third-party logistics providers [5][6] Market Position and Future Outlook - Despite a U.S. vacancy rate of 7.4%, supply constraints persist, with a market-to-replacement-cost rent spread exceeding 20%, indicating potential for future cash flow uplift [7][8] - Management projects same-store NOI growth of 3.75%–4.25% net effective and 4.25%–4.75% cash for 2025, with rent changes for new and renewing leases expected to average in the low to mid-50% range [9]