金晟富：7.17黄金消息面刺激大起大落！日内黄金行情分析参考

Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are significantly influenced by market uncertainties surrounding the Federal Reserve's independence and potential changes in monetary policy due to political pressures [1][2][3]. Market Influences - Gold prices experienced dramatic volatility, initially dropping to $3,319.58 per ounce before surging to a three-week high of $3,377.17 due to market reactions to news about President Trump's potential dismissal of Fed Chair Powell [1][2]. - The market's reaction to Trump's denial of the dismissal plan indicates heightened concerns over the Fed's independence, which is crucial for maintaining the credibility of the U.S. financial system [1][2]. Economic Indicators - Recent economic data, including a decrease in the Producer Price Index (PPI), has reduced inflationary pressures and bolstered expectations for interest rate cuts, which could support gold prices [2]. - The market is closely monitoring upcoming economic indicators such as initial jobless claims and retail sales, with expectations that most data will be unfavorable for gold prices, suggesting potential for price corrections [2][3]. Technical Analysis - Gold is currently trading within a defined range of $3,375 to $3,320, indicating a lack of strong directional movement. A breakout above or below this range could lead to further price movements towards $3,400 or $3,285, respectively [3][5]. - The technical indicators suggest a preference for long positions in the current market environment, with key support levels identified at $3,320 and resistance at $3,375 [5][6]. Trading Strategies - Suggested trading strategies include short positions near $3,365 to $3,370 with a target of $3,350 to $3,340, and long positions near $3,325 to $3,330 with a target of $3,345 to $3,355 [6].