许安鸿：黄金调整结束或将上行，原油震荡先看反弹

Group 1 - The market experienced volatility due to rumors about President Trump considering the dismissal of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, which led to a drop in the US dollar index by 0.36% to 98.244 [1] - The 10-year US Treasury yield closed at 4.463%, while the 2-year yield was at 3.959%, indicating fluctuations in bond markets amid the uncertainty [1] - Gold prices saw significant movement, initially rising above $3,370 per ounce before closing at $3,347.54, reflecting market reactions to the rumors and subsequent denial from Trump [1] Group 2 - The report indicated that Trump was contemplating Powell's dismissal due to a $2.5 billion cost overrun in a Federal Reserve building renovation project, which raised concerns about the stability of monetary policy [1] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a monthly increase of 0.3%, leading to market expectations that the Federal Reserve may delay interest rate cuts [1] - The ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and trade war risks are expected to keep precious metal prices in a volatile but upward trend [1] Group 3 - Oil prices have been fluctuating within a range, with WTI crude oil futures closing at $66.60 per barrel after a slight decline of 0.13% [3] - The EIA reported a decrease of 3.859 million barrels in crude oil inventories for the week ending July 11, which was significantly higher than the expected decrease of 552,000 barrels [3] - Market sentiment regarding oil prices is mixed, with expectations of a potential oversupply later in the year contributing to the recent price movements [3][5]