Market Reaction - The news of potential dismissal of Fed Chairman Powell led to a spike in spot gold prices from $3,320 to around $3,340 per ounce, eventually reaching $3,378 per ounce in London [1] - The US dollar index fell below the 98 mark, and major US stocks experienced a decline, while non-US currencies surged [1] Federal Reserve Insights - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July was reported at 95.3%, with a 4.7% chance of a 25 basis point cut [1] - By September, the probability of maintaining rates dropped to 32%, while the likelihood of a cumulative 25 basis point cut rose to 64.9% [1] Technical Analysis - Spot gold found strong support at $3,320 per ounce, with a previous resistance level at $3,365 per ounce pushed up to $3,378 due to the Powell incident [3] - The market is currently in a large range-bound trading pattern, with $3,320 as a potential support or stop-loss level and $3,378 as a resistance or stop-loss level [3] Trading Strategy - Recommendations include buying near $3,320 with a stop-loss of $7 and targeting $3,350 to $3,370, while considering selling near $3,378 with the same stop-loss and targeting $3,320 to $3,330 [4]
香港第一金：白宫闹出”乌龙“事件 现货黄金走势暴涨暴跌
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-17 03:58