Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that various factors are intertwining, leading to fluctuations in precious metals, with a focus on gold and silver prices [1][2] - The U.S. CPI data shows a moderate inflation rate, with a 0.3% month-on-month increase and a 2.7% year-on-year rise, aligning with market expectations [2] - BCA Research suggests that the main factors driving gold prices up over the past three years are still in play, with expectations for gold to test historical highs again [3] Group 2 - Citigroup forecasts that silver prices will rise above $40 per ounce in the coming months, driven by tightening physical supply and increasing investment demand [3] - The market is currently sensitive to event-driven factors, particularly U.S. trade policies and geopolitical uncertainties, which may lead to repeated fluctuations in risk sentiment [2] - The overall long-term support logic for precious metals remains intact, despite short-term volatility, due to factors like fiscal deficits and economic slowdown expectations [2][3]
机构看金市:7月17日