UNFI Revises 2025 Guidance, Maintains Long-Term Growth Focus

Core Insights - United Natural Foods, Inc. (UNFI) has updated its fiscal 2025 financial outlook while maintaining confidence in its long-term strategic goals, reflecting strong performance in the first three quarters and the impact of a cyber incident in the fourth quarter [1][3][11] Financial Outlook - For fiscal 2025, UNFI anticipates net sales of $31.6-$31.8 billion, an increase of 2.3% over fiscal 2024, compared to the previous forecast of $31.3-$31.7 billion [3][10] - Adjusted EBITDA is now expected to be between $535 million and $565 million, slightly below the previous estimate of $550-$580 million, indicating a 6.2% growth over the prior year [3][10] - Adjusted EPS has been revised to 40-80 cents from the prior range of 70-90 cents, reflecting the temporary impact of the cyber incident [4] - Free cash flow is projected at approximately $200 million, up from the prior forecast of $150 million, showing a significant improvement from negative $92 million in fiscal 2024 [4][10] Cybersecurity Incident - UNFI faced a cybersecurity incident in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, which is expected to reduce net sales by about $350-$400 million and lower adjusted EBITDA by $40-$50 million [5] - The incident is anticipated to incur $20 million in incremental costs and about $5 million in remediation expenses, leading to a total estimated net loss of $50 million to $60 million, including tax impact [5] - Despite the disruption, primary ordering systems were restored within 10 days, and operations are now at normalized levels, with no material impact expected beyond fiscal 2025 [6] Strategic Initiatives - UNFI continues to focus on a partner-first strategy, improving efficiency, and accelerating multi-year growth plans despite recent challenges [2][11] - The company benefits from lean management practices, wholesale business realignment, and optimization of unprofitable operations, indicating a commitment to long-term value creation [7][11] - The natural and organic business segment is experiencing impressive growth due to increased consumer demand for healthier products, aligning with broader consumer trends [8]