A month has gone by since the last earnings report for United Natural Foods (UNFI) . Shares have lost about 8.2% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.Will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is United Natural due for a breakout? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then ...

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the investment philosophy focused on small cap companies, highlighting the importance of identifying mispriced securities through understanding financial drivers and utilizing DCF model valuation [1] Investment Philosophy - The investment approach is not confined to traditional categories such as value, dividend, or growth investing, but rather considers all prospects of a stock to assess risk-to-reward [1]

A downtrend has been apparent in United Natural Foods (UNFI) lately with too much selling pressure. The stock has declined 8.6% over the past four weeks. However, given the fact that it is now in oversold territory and Wall Street analysts are majorly in agreement about the company's ability to report better earnings than they predicted earlier, the stock could be due for a turnaround.Guide to Identifying Oversold StocksWe use Relative Strength Index (RSI), one of the most commonly used technical indicators ...

The past couple of days have been very interesting for shareholders of food distribution firm United Natural Foods (NYSE: UNFI ). On March 12th, shares of the company spiked 11.6% after management announced financial results forCrude Value Insights offers you an investing service and community focused on oil and natural gas. We focus on cash flow and the companies that generate it, leading to value and growth prospects with real potential.Subscribers get to use a 50+ stock model account, in-depth cash flow ...

Financial Performance - Net sales for the second quarter of fiscal 2025 increased by 4.9% to $8,158 million compared to $7,775 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2024[132]. - Gross profit for the second quarter of fiscal 2025 increased by $37 million, or 3.6%, to $1,072 million, with a gross profit margin of 13.1%[137]. - Operating expenses for the second quarter of fiscal 2025 increased by $21 million, or 2.1%, to $1,031 million, representing 12.6% of net sales[139]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of fiscal 2025 was $145 million, up from $128 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2024, reflecting a $17 million increase[130]. - Net loss attributable to United Natural Foods, Inc. was $3 million for the second quarter of fiscal 2025, compared to a net loss of $15 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2024[130]. - Year-to-date net sales for fiscal 2025 increased by 4.6% to $16,029 million compared to $15,327 million for fiscal 2024[135]. - Gross profit for fiscal 2025 year-to-date increased by $45 million, or 2.2%, to $2,110 million, with a gross profit margin of 13.2%[138]. - Operating income for fiscal 2025 year-to-date increased to $32 million, compared to $0 million for fiscal 2024 year-to-date[146]. - Total net sales for Q2 fiscal 2025 increased by $383 million, reaching $8,158 million, compared to $7,775 million in Q2 fiscal 2024[154]. - Wholesale net sales increased by $385 million, or 5.1%, in Q2 fiscal 2025, driven by a 3% increase in unit volumes[155]. - Adjusted EBITDA for wholesale increased by $18 million, or 15.3%, in Q2 fiscal 2025, reaching $136 million, compared to $118 million in Q2 fiscal 2024[159]. Cost and Expenses - The company reported a product cost inflation of approximately 2% in Q2 of fiscal 2025 compared to Q2 of fiscal 2024[115]. - Restructuring, acquisition, and integration related expenses increased to $9 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2025 from $4 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2024[141]. - Interest expense, net, decreased to $38 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2025 from $40 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2024, primarily due to lower outstanding debt balances[147]. - The effective tax rate for Q2 fiscal 2025 was a benefit rate of 60.0% on pre-tax loss, compared to 26.3% in Q2 fiscal 2024[149]. Distribution and Operations - A new distribution center in Manchester, Pennsylvania, with approximately 1.3 million square feet, began operations in Q1 of fiscal 2025 and will be automated later in the fiscal year[111]. - The company has 53 distribution centers and warehouses totaling approximately 31 million square feet of warehouse space across North America[102]. - The company is optimizing its distribution center network to achieve cost savings and improve customer experience[110]. - The company is realigning its commercial wholesale organization into two product-centered divisions to enhance service to customers and suppliers[104]. - The company recognized a $118 million right-of-use asset and operating lease liability for a new distribution center in Sarasota, Florida, in Q1 of fiscal 2025[111]. Cash Flow and Liquidity - Total liquidity as of February 1, 2025, was $1,312 million, consisting of $1,268 million in unused credit and $44 million in cash[164]. - Net cash provided by operating activities increased by $208 million in fiscal 2025 year-to-date compared to fiscal 2024 year-to-date, reaching $137 million[175]. - Net cash used in investing activities decreased by $42 million in fiscal 2025 year-to-date, totaling $100 million, primarily due to lower capital expenditures[176]. - Net cash used in financing activities increased by $242 million in fiscal 2025 year-to-date, resulting in a net cash outflow of $32 million, attributed to increased repayments under the ABL Credit Facility[177]. - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period increased by $10 million, totaling $44 million, compared to $34 million at the end of the previous period[175]. - Total debt decreased by $14 million to $2,071 million as of February 1, 2025, from $2,085 million as of August 3, 2024[164]. Capital Expenditures and Investments - Capital expenditures for fiscal 2025 year-to-date were $103 million, a decrease of $38 million from $141 million in fiscal 2024 year-to-date[173]. - Fiscal 2025 capital and cloud implementation spending is expected to be approximately $300 million, focusing on distribution network automation and technology platform investments[174]. Shareholder Returns and Pension Contributions - As of February 1, 2025, the company had $138 million remaining authorized under the $200 million share repurchase program initiated in September 2022[185]. - The company did not repurchase any shares of common stock in fiscal 2025 year-to-date[185]. - The company expects to contribute approximately $51 million to multiemployer pension plans in fiscal 2025, an increase from $47 million in fiscal 2024[182]. - The company assesses the attractiveness of cash contributions to pension plans based on factors such as expected return on assets and cost of debt[180]. - The company anticipates that contributions to multiemployer pension plans could increase in the near term due to various factors, including collective bargaining outcomes[182]. Retail Performance - Retail's net sales decreased by $21 million, or 3.3%, in Q2 fiscal 2025, primarily due to a 0.4% decrease in identical store sales[156]. Economic Outlook - The company anticipates continued economic volatility impacting consumer confidence and spending behavior[108]. Operational Strategy - The company plans to continue investing in its Retail segment, focusing on customer-facing merchandising initiatives and technology improvements[114]. - Overall product sales are balanced throughout the year, with working capital needs peaking during high sales periods, such as the holiday season[188].

United Natural Foods, Inc. (NYSE:UNFI) Q2 2025 Earnings Conference Call March 11, 2025 8:30 AM ET Company Participants Steve Bloomquist - VP of IR Sandy Douglas - CEO Matteo Tarditi - President and CFO Conference Call Participants John Heinbockel - Guggenheim Bill Kirk - ROTH Capital Scott Mushkin - R5 Capital Mark Carden - UBS Andrew Wolf - CL King Kelly Bania - BMO Capital Markets Operator Thank you for standing by. My name is Karen, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like ...

2nd Quarter Fiscal 2025 March 11, 2025 2 Disclaimer Certain information in this presentation and discussed on the conference call which this presentation accompanies constitutes forward -looking information within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 . Statements in this presentation regarding the Company's business that are not historical facts are "forward -looking statements" that involve risks and uncertainties and are based on current expectations and management estimates ...

分组1 - United Natural Foods (UNFI) reported quarterly earnings of $0.22 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.18 per share, and showing an increase from $0.07 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 22.22% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $8.16 billion for the quarter ended January 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.52%, and up from $7.78 billion year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, United Natural has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times and topped consensus revenue estimates three times [2] 分组2 - The stock has underperformed the market, losing about 5.4% since the beginning of the year, compared to the S&P 500's decline of 4.5% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $0.22 on revenues of $7.59 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.76 on revenues of $31.07 billion [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank for Food - Miscellaneous is currently in the bottom 30% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges for stock performance [8]

Financial Performance - Net sales increased by 4.9% to $8.2 billion compared to the second quarter of fiscal 2024[6] - Adjusted EBITDA rose by 13.3% to $145 million, reflecting continued operational improvements[6] - Free cash flow improved by 66.4% to $193 million, driven by net cash provided by operating activities of $247 million[6] - Net loss decreased to $(3) million, with loss per diluted share (EPS) of $(0.05), compared to a loss of $(15) million and EPS of $(0.25) in the prior year[6][12] - The company reported a net loss attributable to United Natural Foods, Inc. of $(3) million for the 13-week period ended February 1, 2025, compared to $(15) million in the same period of 2024, reflecting a 80% improvement[31] - The net loss attributable to United Natural Foods, Inc. for the 26-week period ended February 1, 2025, was $24 million, compared to a net loss of $54 million for the same period in 2024[22] - Adjusted EBITDA for the 13-week period ended February 1, 2025, was $145 million, up 13.3% from $128 million in the same period of 2024[27] - Adjusted EBITDA for the 26-week period is expected to be used for internal projections and comparisons with fiscal 2024[20] - The adjusted net income for the 26-week period ended February 1, 2025, was $23 million, compared to $2 million for the same period in 2024, indicating a significant increase of 1,050%[31] Debt and Liquidity - The net debt to Adjusted EBITDA ratio declined to 3.7x, a reduction of 0.6x over the past 12 months[6] - Total liquidity as of February 1, 2025, was approximately $1.31 billion, consisting of $44 million in cash and $1.27 billion in unused capacity[13] - The net carrying value of debt and finance lease liabilities as of February 1, 2025, was $2,046 million, down from $2,161 million as of January 27, 2024, indicating a reduction of 5.3%[33] - Interest expense for the 13-week period ended February 1, 2025, was $38 million, a decrease of 5% from $40 million in the same period of 2024[27] Operational Efficiency - Operating expenses as a percentage of net sales decreased to 12.6%, down from 13.0% in the prior year[9] - Capital expenditures for the 26-week period were $103 million, down from $141 million in the prior year, indicating a focus on cost management[25] - Payments for capital expenditures for the 13-week period ended February 1, 2025, were $54 million, down from $67 million in the same period of 2024, reflecting a decrease of 19.4%[37] - The company is focusing on a product-centered realignment to enhance customer service and streamline operations[3] Future Outlook - The company is raising its full-year outlook for net sales to between $31.3 billion and $31.7 billion[14] - Adjusted EPS is expected to be between $0.70 and $0.90, up from the previous outlook of $0.40 to $0.80[14] - The adjusted effective tax rate for fiscal 2025 is estimated at 26%, compared to the actual rate of 21% for fiscal 2024[38] - The company plans to continue utilizing non-GAAP financial measures to provide better visibility into its operating performance and investment expenditures[20] Restructuring and Expenses - The company incurred restructuring, acquisition, and integration-related expenses of $9 million for the 13-week period ended February 1, 2025, compared to $4 million in the same period of 2024, marking a 125% increase[31]

Group 1: Earnings Expectations - United Natural Foods, Inc. (UNFI) is expected to report growth in both revenue and earnings for the second quarter of fiscal 2025, with revenue estimated at $7.96 billion, reflecting a 2.3% increase year-over-year [1] - The consensus estimate for earnings per share is 18 cents, a significant rise from 7 cents reported in the same quarter last year [1] - UNFI has demonstrated a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 553.1% on average, indicating strong past performance [1] Group 2: Operational Performance - The company has shown growth and operational resilience, driven by strong demand in its wholesale segment and a focus on consumer trends favoring natural and organic products [3] - Strategic initiatives such as expanding the customer base, optimizing the distribution network, and investing in automation have improved efficiency and market penetration [3] - Lean management practices have enhanced operational effectiveness, aligning supply with customer needs and driving cost savings [3] Group 3: Challenges and Risks - UNFI is facing challenges in its Retail business, struggling to retain market share in a competitive environment [4] - There is sustained margin pressure due to an unfavorable customer and product mix, along with rising operational costs, which are impacting profitability [4] - The continuation of these trends poses a threat to UNFI's fiscal second-quarter performance [4] Group 4: Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for UNFI, as it holds a Zacks Rank of 3 and an Earnings ESP of 0.00% [5]