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首份上市银行半年度业绩快报亮相,中信证券:一季度或是年内业绩低点
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-18 03:52

Core Viewpoint - The banking sector is experiencing a resurgence, with notable stock price increases for banks such as Xiamen Bank and Qilu Bank, alongside a positive performance of the Bank AH Preferred ETF [1][3]. Financial Performance - Hangzhou Bank reported a revenue of 20.093 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.89%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.662 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 16.67% [3]. Valuation Analysis - The average Return on Equity (ROE) for the banking industry in 2024 is projected to be 9.3%, with high-quality city commercial banks like Hangzhou Bank and Chengdu Bank expected to maintain an ROE of around 15% over the next three years [6]. - The banking sector is currently undervalued, with an average valuation of 0.7 times Price-to-Book (PB) ratio, compared to stable industries like coal and utilities, which have an average valuation of around 2 times PB [6][9]. Dividend Yield - The average dividend yield for A-share listed banks is 3.7%, while the Bank AH Index has a dividend yield around 5%, significantly higher than the 1.65% yield of ten-year government bonds [15]. Market Trends - The Bank AH Preferred ETF (517900) has seen a net inflow of 770 million yuan this year, with a 589% increase in shares, indicating strong market interest [16]. - Since its inception on December 6, 2017, the Bank AH Total Return Index has increased by 101.7%, outperforming the CSI Bank Index by 26% [17]. Investment Strategy - The current low-interest-rate environment is creating a scenario where the dividend yield of banks exceeds risk-free rates, potentially sustaining the positive momentum in the banking sector [14].