Group 1 - The Shanghai gold futures closed at 777.02 yuan per gram on July 18, with a slight decrease of 0.08% and a trading volume of 221,277 contracts [1] - The spot price of gold in Shanghai was quoted at 771.7 yuan per gram, indicating a discount of 5.32 yuan per gram compared to the futures price [1] - The U.S. retail sales for June increased by 0.6%, significantly above the expected 0.1%, while initial jobless claims for the week ending July 12 were reported at 221,000, lower than the expected 235,000 [1] Group 2 - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in July is 97.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is only 2.6% [2] - In September, the probability of the Fed keeping rates steady is 46.9%, with a cumulative probability of 51.7% for a 25 basis point cut [2] Group 3 - According to Galaxy Futures, the strong U.S. retail data and resilient jobless claims have led to a rise in the dollar, putting slight pressure on precious metals [3] - The market is expected to maintain high volatility in precious metals due to uncertainties surrounding inflation rebound and potential delays in Fed rate cuts [3]
【黄金期货收评】美通胀韧性强弱成新焦点 沪金日内下跌0.08%