Core Viewpoint - CICC has downgraded the profit forecast for Yihai International (01579) for 2025 and 2026 by 9% and 7% to 790 million and 890 million respectively, due to the impact of related parties [1] Group 1: Revenue and Growth Expectations - For 1H25, third-party revenue is expected to grow in the single digits year-on-year, with hot pot base material expected to see high single-digit growth due to price adjustments and new product launches [2] - The company anticipates a 30% year-on-year growth in overseas revenue for the first half of 2025, indicating strong performance in international markets [2] Group 2: Profitability and Cost Management - The gross profit margin for 1H25 is expected to remain stable year-on-year, with overall net profit margin and net profit also projected to be flat compared to the previous year [3] - Increased logistics costs due to overseas business development are expected to impact overall sales expense ratios, although government subsidies and foreign exchange gains may offset some of these costs [3] Group 3: Strategic Adjustments and Future Outlook - The company is implementing a channel refinement strategy to enhance revenue growth in the second half of the year, focusing on direct sales and improving coverage in key accounts [4] - Long-term growth potential is anticipated from the expansion of overseas markets and the development of other B-end businesses, with expectations for double-digit revenue growth in the second half of the year [4]
中金：维持颐海国际(01579)目标价15港元 评级“跑赢行业”