百利好晚盘分析：降息峰回路转 七月或有可能

Group 1: Gold - Gold prices showed a slight rebound after a short-term decline, with potential support from the Federal Reserve's changing stance on interest rate cuts, particularly the possibility of a cut in July [1] - Federal Reserve Governor Waller strongly advocated for a July rate cut, suggesting that any inflation from tariffs would be temporary, indicating a favorable outlook for gold [1] - San Francisco Fed President Daly also mentioned the reasonableness of two more rate cuts by the end of the year, reflecting a potential division within the Fed regarding monetary policy [1] Group 2: Oil - Oil prices continued to rebound slightly, but the momentum remains weak due to a lack of demand support, especially amid increasing uncertainty in the global economic outlook [2] - President Trump announced intentions to impose tariffs on over 150 minor trade partners, which could further impact global trade and economic growth, with a projected decrease in global GDP from 2.8% to 2.3% [2] - The Bank for International Settlements reported that the trade war initiated by the U.S. has disrupted global economic expectations, leading to a general downgrade in growth forecasts [2] Group 3: Copper - Copper prices have shown a series of small declines and slight increases, indicating a potential adjustment phase following a previous significant rise, with current levels possibly stabilizing [3] - The hourly chart indicates a convergence of high and low points, forming a symmetrical triangle, suggesting a potential short-term support level at $5.40 [3] Group 4: Nikkei 225 - The Nikkei 225 index closed with a strong bullish candle, indicating a potential adjustment phase, with prices entering a previously dense trading area, suggesting a strengthening pattern [5] - Short-term support is noted at the level of 39,500 [5]