啤酒品牌花式整活卷“爆款”，靠情绪价值拼未来？|大象财富

Core Insights - The beer industry is experiencing a decline in sales, with a projected 0.6% decrease in production for 2024 and a 5.7% drop in revenue year-on-year, making it the only negative growth category in the food and beverage sector [1][2] - Craft beer is witnessing significant growth, with a forecasted 17% increase in consumption for 2025, contrasting with the decline in industrial beer [1][2] - Companies are exploring new product categories and sales channels to drive growth, including the introduction of innovative flavors and the expansion into beverage markets [15][17] Industry Performance - The overall beer production in China for January to May 2025 was 15.008 million kiloliters, a slight decrease of 0.3% year-on-year, with industrial beer production expected to be around 35.213 million kiloliters for 2024 [1][2] - The craft beer segment is projected to reach a market size of 130 billion yuan by the end of 2025, with a penetration rate of 6.3% [9] Consumer Trends - Young consumers, particularly those aged 18-35, are increasingly favoring craft beers over traditional industrial options, with female consumers making up over 60% of the market for new flavors [3][4] - The shift in consumer behavior reflects a preference for unique, high-quality products that provide emotional value rather than just price considerations [11][20] Company Strategies - Jin Xing Beer has successfully leveraged Chinese craft brewing techniques, achieving a production volume of 10 million bottles (1 million liters) and generating a revenue of 1 billion yuan [3][9] - The company plans to continue innovating with new flavors, such as the "Jin Xing Xinyang Maojian Chinese Craft Beer," which combines tea and beer, appealing to a broader audience [9][12] Market Dynamics - The beer market is becoming increasingly competitive, with over 30,000 companies involved in craft beer production, leading to a risk of oversaturation [11][12] - Major beer brands are diversifying into non-beer beverages, such as soft drinks and functional drinks, to capture a larger market share [17][18] Future Outlook - Despite current challenges, the beer industry is expected to recover, supported by government initiatives aimed at increasing domestic barley production and technological advancements in brewing [20] - The industry's focus on digital transformation and quality improvement will be crucial for maintaining competitiveness in a saturated market [20]