Core Viewpoint - The general agent market is facing significant challenges, with companies like Manus experiencing declines in user engagement and revenue, indicating a lack of compelling use cases that drive sustained user loyalty and payment [2][9][11]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Manus has relocated its headquarters to Singapore, laid off 80 employees, and abandoned its domestic version, reflecting a strategic shift rather than a failure in operations [2]. - The general agent market is being eroded by the overflow of model capabilities and competition from specialized agents, leading to a decline in revenue and user activity for general agents like Manus and Genspark [2][8]. - The market is witnessing a drop in monthly recurring revenue (MRR) for general agents, with Manus reporting a more than 50% decline in June [11]. Group 2: Product Performance - General agents have struggled to find killer applications that can attract and retain users, often being used for basic tasks like creating presentations or reports [2][9][11]. - The performance of general agents is hindered by their inability to match the precision of specialized agents in enterprise settings, leading to dissatisfaction among users [7][8]. - The pricing model of Manus, which relies on a points-based system, is seen as a barrier to user adoption compared to cheaper and more efficient model APIs [6][11]. Group 3: Technological Challenges - The rapid advancement of large models has made them increasingly agent-like, allowing users to directly utilize these models instead of relying on general agents [4][8]. - General agents often struggle with complex tasks due to their reliance on a step-by-step execution process, which can lead to errors and inconsistent output quality [16][19]. - Innovations in reinforcement learning (RL) are being explored to enhance the capabilities of agents, potentially allowing them to evolve from simple tools to more autonomous and adaptable systems [17][22]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape is shifting, with larger companies leveraging their resources to develop and promote their own agent products while also providing free services to attract users [12][13]. - The domestic market for general agents is becoming increasingly competitive, with major players like Baidu and ByteDance offering free testing and services, making it difficult for smaller companies to compete [12][13]. - The focus on deep research capabilities and multi-modal functionalities is becoming a common strategy among various agent developers to enhance their offerings [12][15].
90%被大模型吃掉，AI Agent的困局
3 6 Ke·2025-07-18 10:48