140位投资人眼中的2025上半年

Group 1 - The primary market is experiencing a "real but not dramatic" recovery in the first half of 2025, with investors showing a "calm confidence" in their investment decisions [2][4] - The frequency of investments has increased, with many institutions making more than five investments in the first half of the year, a significant rise compared to the previous year [4][18] - The valuation structure is stabilizing, with a reduction in valuation discrepancies between primary and secondary markets, which is crucial for investor confidence in exits [6][7] Group 2 - Hong Kong has surpassed A-shares as the primary exit channel for investments, with over half of the surveyed investors preferring IPOs in Hong Kong [8][15] - The main reasons for favoring Hong Kong IPOs include high process certainty, improved liquidity, and reasonable issuance valuations [13][15] - Nearly 50% of investors believe that the pace of Hong Kong IPOs will continue to rise, with many actively communicating with portfolio companies to expedite IPO preparations [15][17] Group 3 - The most active sectors in the primary market are embodied intelligence and AI applications, driven by significant financing events and the gradual industrialization of AI [20] - However, many projects in these sectors are still in the demo stage, leading to concerns about high valuations without clear revenue support [20][22] - Investors are shifting focus towards projects with proven revenue capabilities and those with technological barriers in hardware components [20][27] Group 4 - There is a notable decline in interest in sectors like aerospace and low-altitude economy, attributed to their reliance on policy support and unclear commercialization paths [24] - The investment sentiment in the medical sector has shifted from "cold observation" to "selective investment," focusing on profitable projects and AI applications in healthcare [25][27] - The focus on North America has decreased significantly, with Southeast Asia and Europe emerging as new focal points for investment [29][32] Group 5 - Companies are encouraged to reduce reliance on the U.S. market by diversifying supply chains and exploring alternative overseas markets to mitigate risks associated with tariffs [38] - The global strategy is evolving from "going out" to leveraging international capital markets for returns, highlighting the importance of diverse market opportunities [38][39] - Investors are now more focused on evaluating exit paths, technological barriers, and industry linkages rather than chasing high valuations [39]