Coca-Cola's Q2 Earnings on the Deck: A Smart Buy Before the Release?

Core Viewpoint - The Coca-Cola Company is expected to report second-quarter 2025 earnings on July 22, with anticipated year-over-year revenue growth despite a slight decline in earnings per share [1][2]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is $12.6 billion, reflecting a 1.9% increase from the previous year [2]. - The consensus estimate for earnings is 83 cents per share, indicating a 1.2% decline from the prior-year quarter [2]. - Coca-Cola has shown a positive earnings surprise trend over the last nine quarters, with an average surprise of 4.9% [2]. Business Performance and Trends - Coca-Cola's resilience is attributed to strong business momentum, a diverse brand portfolio, and strategic investments [5]. - The company is projected to see a 4.9% year-over-year increase in organic revenues, driven by a 5.8% rise in price/mix, despite a 0.9% decline in concentrate sales [7]. - Innovations and increased digital investments are expected to contribute positively to second-quarter revenues, with e-commerce growth rates doubling in many countries [8]. Market Challenges - Despite favorable price/mix trends, macroeconomic challenges such as low consumer confidence in China and high inflation in Argentina are anticipated to impact Coca-Cola's performance [9][10]. - The company is facing notable volume pressure in key markets, particularly in North America, which may affect overall growth [10]. Currency and Margin Impact - Currency headwinds are estimated to have a 3% negative impact on second-quarter revenues, with an anticipated 10-basis point decline in adjusted operating margin [13]. - The company expects comparable EPS growth to be affected by 5-6% from currency fluctuations [13]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Coca-Cola's stock has risen 13.4% year to date, outperforming the broader industry and the S&P 500 index [14][18]. - The stock trades at a forward 12-month P/E multiple of 22.77X, which is higher than the industry average of 17.96X [18]. Long-term Outlook - Coca-Cola commands over 40% of the global non-alcoholic beverage market, supported by a strong market presence and a focus on innovation [19]. - Despite short-term challenges, the company is well-positioned for sustained long-term growth [20]. - The upcoming earnings report is expected to reinforce Coca-Cola's resilience and growth outlook, making it a compelling long-term investment [21].