How Will PulteGroup Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?

Group 1 - PulteGroup is expected to report fiscal Q2 earnings on July 22, 2025, with anticipated earnings of $3.01 per share and revenue of $4.42 billion, reflecting a 16% drop in adjusted earnings and a 4% decline in revenue compared to the previous year [2] - The company's unit backlog decreased by 16% year-over-year in Q1, with a 12% decline in backlog value, indicating potential challenges for future revenue [3] - PulteGroup has a market capitalization of $23 billion, with revenue of $18 billion over the past twelve months, operating profits of $3.8 billion, and net income of $2.9 billion [3] Group 2 - Historical data shows that PulteGroup's stock has increased following earnings reports 70% of the time, with a median one-day gain of 4.4% and a peak increase of 9% [2][6] - In the last five years, there have been 20 earnings data points, with 14 positive and 6 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 70% occurrence of positive returns [6] - The correlation between short-term and medium-term returns following earnings announcements can provide a lower-risk trading strategy, particularly if the 1D and 5D returns exhibit strong correlation [7]