ET Stock Outperforms its Industry in 3 Months: Time to Buy or Hold?

Core Viewpoint - Energy Transfer LP (ET) has outperformed the Zacks Oil and Gas - Production Pipeline - MLB industry with a 1.5% increase in units over the past three months, compared to the industry's growth of 0.2. [1][10] Company Overview - Energy Transfer operates a vast network of nearly 140,000 miles of pipelines across North America, providing a competitive advantage through its integrated system for transporting natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGL), crude oil, and refined products. [7] - The firm is a leading exporter of liquefied petroleum gas and is expanding its NGL export facilities to meet rising global demand. [2] Performance Factors - The company's strategic acquisitions, including WTG Midstream, Lotus Midstream, and Crestwood Equity Partners, have enhanced its scale and diversified its portfolio, particularly in high-growth basins like the Permian, Williston, and Haynesville. [8] - Energy Transfer's capital expenditure plan includes an investment of $5 billion in 2025, aimed at expanding and strengthening its infrastructure. [9][10] Financial Metrics - Approximately 90% of Energy Transfer's earnings are generated from fee-based contracts, which provide stability against commodity price volatility. [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year earnings growth of 10.16% for 2025 and 10.64% for 2026. [12] - The current quarterly cash distribution rate is 32.75 cents per common unit, with management having raised distribution rates 14 times in the past five years. [15] Valuation - Energy Transfer units are currently trading at a trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA of 10.15X, which is below the industry average of 11.5X, suggesting that the firm is undervalued compared to its peers. [16] - The trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) for Energy Transfer is 11.47%, which is lower than the industry average of 13.95%. [19] Summary - Energy Transfer is well-positioned to benefit from increasing production volumes in the oil, natural gas, and NGL sectors in the U.S. The company's fee-based earnings model and strategic acquisitions are expected to enhance value for unitholders. [22]