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贺博生7.18黄金原油震荡上涨晚间行情走势分析及美盘最新独家操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-18 16:39

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The current gold price is experiencing a narrow upward fluctuation, trading around $3359.05 per ounce, following a significant "V-shaped" movement influenced by strong U.S. retail sales and declining unemployment claims [2] - Despite a temporary spike in the U.S. dollar index to 98.95, which pressured gold prices down to a low of $3309.82, strong buying interest emerged, indicating a hidden demand for gold amid inflation concerns [2][3] - The market shows a divergence between rising U.S. Treasury yields and gold prices, suggesting a significant disagreement regarding the Federal Reserve's policy direction [2] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - The gold market is characterized by a bullish trend with high-level fluctuations, with key support levels identified at $3310 and resistance levels at $3375 [3][5] - The trading strategy suggests focusing on the effective profit space within the range of $3375 to $3310, with specific short-term targets set at $3355 to $3320 [3][5] - The Bollinger Bands indicate a consolidation phase, and traders are advised to monitor the boundaries of the trading range for effective transactions [5] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - International oil prices are stabilizing at high levels, with Brent crude at $69.44 per barrel and WTI crude at $67.46 per barrel, influenced by supply concerns from Iraq and demand uncertainties due to potential U.S. tariffs [6] - The resilience of the U.S. economy is alleviating trade-related concerns, which is positively impacting oil demand outlooks, despite ongoing structural tensions in the oil market [6] - The potential for rising oil prices remains, especially if the U.S. economy continues to show strength and inventory levels do not recover significantly [6] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Oil - The medium-term outlook for oil prices remains bullish, with a potential upward test towards $78, although short-term momentum indicators suggest a weakening of bullish momentum [7] - The short-term trend indicates a slight upward movement, with key resistance levels identified at $70.5 to $71.5 and support levels at $67.0 to $66.0 [7]