Barrick(US:GOLD) Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-18 23:57Group 1 - Barrick Gold announced a pause in its expansion plans in Tanzania, citing declining ore grades, but analysts suggest there may be more significant underlying reasons related to market conditions [1][3] - The current volatility in the gold market is attributed to several factors, including President Trump's erratic behavior, the Federal Reserve's indecision on interest rates, and the uncertainty caused by Trump's tariff policies [3][8] - Goldman Sachs indicated that gold and copper are experiencing a rare investment opportunity, with gold's theoretical price around $3900 based on current real interest rates, while actual prices hover around $3340, indicating a significant undervaluation of over $600 [3][6] Group 2 - The price of gold has seen strong support around $3310, referred to as the "golden lifeline" by traders, with significant rebounds following major geopolitical events [5][6] - Market focus is on whether gold can stabilize above $3352, especially after comments from Fed Chair Powell regarding interest rate decisions being data-dependent [6][8] - Central banks globally have significantly increased their gold reserves, with a record rise of 483 tons in the first half of the year, driven by geopolitical tensions and tariff threats, while retail investors remain cautious [6][8] Group 3 - The market reacted dramatically to news regarding potential changes in the Federal Reserve's leadership, highlighting the sensitivity of gold prices to perceptions of Fed independence [7][8] - The release of U.S. inflation data and the Fed's upcoming interest rate decisions are critical indicators for gold traders, with a 70% probability of a rate cut in September being priced in by the market [8]