欧洲或在5年后爆发战争，法战略评估缘何如此推断

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Europe may face large-scale military conflict with Russia before 2030, as countries like France, Germany, and the UK are nearing their limits of tolerance towards Russian actions [2] - France's strategic assessment suggests that European nations must unite to address the challenges posed by Russia, indicating a potential shift in military strategy [2] - There are doubts within French media regarding whether France genuinely desires to engage in war with Russia, with analyses suggesting that the Macron government is more focused on financial and international influence rather than military confrontation [2] Group 2 - Germany's position includes a significant investment in the "Patriot" missile system, estimated to cost around one billion dollars, reflecting its commitment to defense and support for Ukraine as a protective measure for itself [2] - German politicians view aiding Ukraine as a means to safeguard Germany, suggesting a strategy of allowing Slavic nations to exhaust each other to protect national interests [2] - The article raises questions about the likelihood of direct military engagement between European nations and Russia, particularly if Eastern European countries were to commit troops to Ukraine [2] Group 3 - From Russia's perspective, there is no intention to invade other NATO member states, implying that the concerns of France and other nations may be somewhat unfounded [3] - The potential for war in Europe raises alarms, with the possibility of the United States becoming involved again, which could lead to a catastrophic scenario akin to World War III [3]