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特步国际(01368.HK):主品牌稳健增长 户外品牌势头强劲
Ge Long Hui·2025-07-19 11:07

Core Insights - Xtep International reported operational data for Q2 and the first half of 2025, meeting expectations with low single-digit year-on-year growth in Q2 and mid single-digit growth in the first half [1] - The children's segment outpaced the adult segment, with footwear performing better than apparel, driven by functional running and outdoor products [1] - Saucony achieved over 20% growth in Q2 and over 30% growth in the first half, with a clear brand positioning focused on elite runners and high-performance products [1][2] Brand Performance - The new brands Saucony and Maile maintained rapid growth, with Saucony projecting 30-40% growth for the full year [2] - Saucony is strategically reducing low-priced products online and tightening discounts while expanding its presence in core cities with new store formats [2] - Maile's sales trends are strong, with over 50% growth in both Q2 and the first half, primarily driven by e-commerce [2] Inventory and Financial Health - The inventory level remains healthy, with a sell-through ratio of approximately 4 to 4.5 months at the end of Q2, and discount rates stable at 30-35% [2] - The company expects gross margins to meet expectations, with marketing and R&D expenses within budget, indicating stable operating profit margins [2] Channel Performance - Online sales growth outpaced offline, with direct-to-consumer (DTC) initiatives progressing well, involving around 500 stores transitioning from franchise to self-operated [3] - The DTC transformation is expected to enhance market responsiveness and long-term competitiveness, with plans to open larger stores and introduce new store formats [3] Product Category Insights - Core running products performed well, achieving double-digit growth, while leisure products showed some volatility [3][4] - The company has optimized its multi-brand matrix by divesting from fashion sports brands and focusing on core running business, which is expected to strengthen its market position [4] Future Outlook - The company maintains a "buy" rating and profit forecasts, expecting net profits of 1.37 billion, 1.50 billion, and 1.63 billion for 2025-2027, corresponding to PE ratios of 10, 9, and 8 [4] - The focus on the running segment post-divestment is anticipated to enhance brand synergy and future growth prospects [4]