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稀土又创新高,跟着日线趋势基本就不会下车
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-19 11:12

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth permanent magnet sector has seen significant growth, with a notable increase in stock prices and positive earnings forecasts for most companies in the industry, driven by favorable policies and improved supply-demand dynamics [2][4][8]. Industry Summary - The rare earth concept index rose by 5.79%, with key stocks including Northern Rare Earth, Shenghe Resources, China Rare Earth, and Guangsheng Nonferrous [3]. - The sector's performance is supported by a turnaround in earnings, as most rare earth-related companies have reported significant profit increases or have returned to profitability based on their mid-year earnings forecasts [4]. Company Performance - Huahong Technology: Expected net profit of 70-85 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3047%-3722%, driven by improved supply-demand dynamics and international trade environment [5]. - Northern Rare Earth: Forecasted net profit of 900-960 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 1883%-2015%, benefiting from reduced processing costs and increased production [5]. - Ningbo Yunsheng: Anticipated net profit of 90-135 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 134%-250%, focusing on new project opportunities [5]. - Youyan New Materials: Expected net profit of 114-139 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 179%-240%, with significant sales growth from subsidiaries [5]. - Jinli Permanent Magnet: Forecasted net profit of 300-335 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 151%-180%, with ongoing R&D in robotics and low-altitude vehicles [5]. - Dongmag: Expected net profit of 960-1050 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 50%-64%, with market expansion efforts showing initial success [5]. - Shenghe Resources: Forecasted to turn a profit with net profit of 305-385 million yuan, driven by improved sales and cost management [5]. - China Rare Earth: Expected to turn a profit with net profit of 136-176 million yuan, benefiting from rising product prices [5]. - Guangsheng Nonferrous: Forecasted net profit of 70-85 million yuan, with significant operational improvements [5]. - Zhongke Sanhuan: Expected net profit of 35-52 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59%-185%, aided by stable raw material prices [5]. Policy and Market Dynamics - Recent policies have positively impacted the rare earth sector, including export controls and tightened mining quotas, leading to a strategic premium on rare earth resources [8]. - The supply side is tightening due to environmental regulations and illegal capacity removal, while demand is surging from sectors like electric vehicles and robotics, with global sales of new energy vehicles expected to grow by 44% in 2025 [10].