李鸿彬：7.21黄金多空争夺战，震荡还在持续ing

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is experiencing increasing policy divergence, with a 56.2% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September, while 41.2% believe rates will remain unchanged [3] - Several Federal Reserve officials have expressed differing views, with some adopting a hawkish stance and others favoring rate cuts within the year [3] - Federal Reserve Governor Waller is a leading internal candidate to succeed Powell as chair, particularly given his clear support for rate cuts this year [3] Group 2 - Gold has been fluctuating within the range of 3375 to 3310, showing weak continuation in both bullish and bearish trends, with rapid conversion frequency [5] - After failing to break through the 3375 level, gold experienced a significant pullback, indicating strong short positions, but has since rebounded to the 3350 level [5] - The Bollinger Bands for gold are in a constricted state, limiting price movements and resulting in a volatile trading pattern [5] Group 3 - Silver has maintained a high level of volatility after reaching 37.3, successfully breaking through the 37.3 resistance and hitting a new historical high at 39 [8] - The bullish market sentiment for silver is strengthening, with daily charts indicating a consolidation phase before further upward movement [8] - The focus for trading silver should be on the 37.2 to 37.5 range for long positions [8]