Core Viewpoint - Tesla is set to announce its Q2 earnings after the market closes, with analysts expressing mixed views on the stock, anticipating a significant decline in share price based on recent delivery figures that fell short of expectations [1][2]. Group 1: Earnings Expectations - Analysts expect Tesla's Q2 total revenue to decline by 10% year-over-year to $22.9 billion, with adjusted earnings per share projected to drop nearly 20% to $0.43 [2]. - The focus of investors and analysts is less on the actual Q2 performance and more on the outlook and technological guidance that CEO Elon Musk will provide during the earnings call [2][3]. Group 2: Analyst Opinions - There is a stark divide among Wall Street analysts regarding Tesla's valuation, with UBS maintaining a bearish target price of $215, while Wedbush sets a bullish target at $500, highlighting the significant disparity in outlooks [3][4]. - JPMorgan holds the most pessimistic view with a target price of $115, citing risks related to Tesla's annual performance outlook and declining delivery volumes [3]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Stock Performance - Among 17 major Wall Street investment firms tracked by Visible Alpha, 8 have a "buy" rating on Tesla, 5 a "hold," and 4 a "sell," with an average target price slightly below $300, indicating a potential decline from the current stock price [5]. - Tesla's stock has dropped nearly 20% since the beginning of the year, making it the worst performer among the "Magnificent 7" tech giants [5]. Group 4: Technological Developments - Tesla's Robotaxi service is currently undergoing small-scale testing in Austin, Texas, with plans to expand its fleet and operations, which is seen as a critical component for the company's long-term growth narrative [6][7]. - Morgan Stanley remains bullish on Tesla, maintaining a target price of $410, driven by expectations of widespread adoption of the FSD system and the potential of the Robotaxi network [7]. Group 5: Future Market Potential - Cathie Wood from ARK Invest predicts that Tesla's stock could reach $2,600 within five years, attributing most of its value to the Robotaxi business, which could dominate the autonomous taxi market projected to reach $10 trillion by 2030 [8].
财报前瞻 | 华尔街“牛熊”分化加剧 马斯克“画饼”能否救场特斯拉(TSLA.US)股价?