Core Viewpoint - Trump's unilateral tariff strategy is facing significant challenges, particularly with Japan's response and China's support for Japan, which disrupts Trump's plans and highlights the growing economic cooperation between China and Japan [2][16]. Group 1: Japan's Economic Response - Japan has received support from China, leading to increased market access for Japanese products, particularly in agriculture and high-end manufacturing, with a projected 40% increase in rice exports to China by 2025 [2]. - Japanese companies are establishing production facilities in China to avoid U.S. tariffs, such as Toyota's new electric vehicle plant in Shanghai, allowing them to benefit from China's supply chain while circumventing U.S. tariffs [2][3]. - Direct investment from Japan to China increased by 18% in Q1 2025, with 70% focused on new energy and digital economy sectors, indicating a strategic shift in Japan's economic focus [3]. Group 2: Supply Chain and Legal Strategies - Japan is restructuring its supply chains to reduce reliance on the U.S., with plans to move 30% of critical component production to China and Southeast Asia by the end of 2025 [3][4]. - Japan has taken legal action against U.S. tariffs by filing complaints with the WTO, indicating a willingness to challenge U.S. trade policies on an international level [4]. - Japan's antitrust actions against Google signal a broader strategy to assert its economic interests against U.S. tech giants [4]. Group 3: Financial Measures - Japan's recent sale of $50 billion in U.S. Treasury bonds is seen as a silent protest against U.S. tariffs, reflecting a strategic move to diversify its foreign reserves [6]. - Discussions between the Bank of Japan and the People's Bank of China to expand currency swap agreements aim to reduce the dominance of the U.S. dollar in regional trade [6]. Group 4: Impact on U.S. Economy - U.S. companies are feeling the pressure from tariffs, with American Aluminum reporting a $115 million increase in costs due to tariffs, leading to production line shifts to Mexico [10]. - The overall cost of raw materials in the U.S. manufacturing and construction sectors has risen by 12% year-on-year, contributing to inflation and consumer dissatisfaction [10][11]. - A coalition of over 1,000 U.S. businesses has petitioned the government to halt tariff increases, warning of potential job losses amounting to 2 million [11]. Group 5: Geopolitical Implications - The postponement of U.S.-Japan security talks due to Japan's demands for renegotiation of military cost-sharing reflects growing tensions in the U.S.-Japan alliance [12]. - Japan's agricultural cooperation with China, including a soybean production agreement, further isolates the U.S. in the agricultural sector [12][14]. - The economic collaboration between China and Japan is reshaping the regional economic landscape, challenging U.S. unilateralism and fostering a new trend of economic integration in the Asia-Pacific [16].
中方批准日方请求,特朗普这一局要输了,日本对美还留有大招
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-21 07:12