Core Viewpoint - The major state-owned banks are expected to fully withdraw from the online lending market due to the implementation of the new regulations on internet lending, which will take effect in October 2023. This shift is seen as a silent announcement of their exit from the online lending business, despite the fact that their funding has already significantly decreased since 2023 [1][8]. Regulatory Changes - The new regulations require banks to manage their partnerships with online lending platforms through a whitelist system, mandating public disclosure of these partnerships on their official channels [1][2]. - The regulations also stipulate that banks must include "rights fees" in their overall financing costs and prohibit raising rates above 24% [2]. Current Market Dynamics - The tightening of regulations and internal approval processes have led to a near-complete cessation of online lending activities within state-owned banks [3][4]. - Despite the anticipated exit of major banks, the online lending market has already seen a significant reduction in their funding contributions, indicating that their withdrawal may not drastically reshape the market [8]. Shift to Smaller Banks - Smaller banks are not likely to abandon online lending easily, as they have begun to publicly disclose partnerships with various online lending platforms following the announcement of the new regulations [9]. - Examples include Guangzhou Bank, which has listed 17 cooperative institutions, and other smaller banks that are actively engaging with online lending platforms [9]. Financial Performance and Trends - The net interest margin for different types of banks has been declining, with rural commercial banks experiencing the largest drop, which pressures smaller banks to seek higher-risk, higher-yield products like online lending [9]. - The financing costs for consumer finance companies have reached historical lows, with new debt issuance rates below 2.2%, indicating a potential opportunity for these non-bank financial institutions as traditional banks withdraw [18]. Future Opportunities - Consumer finance companies and trust businesses are expected to benefit from the tightening of regulations on traditional banks, as they may capture more market share in the online lending space [17][19]. - Trust companies have been actively involved in online lending through various funding plans, indicating a shift in the funding landscape as traditional banks retreat [20].
8万亿网贷“金主”变局摸底
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen·2025-07-21 07:51