李鸿彬：7.21黄金3375是关键，多空谁主沉浮？

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is experiencing increasing policy divergence, with market expectations for a September rate cut at 56.2%, anticipating a 25 basis point reduction, while 41.2% believe rates will remain unchanged [3] - Several Federal Reserve officials have expressed differing views, with some adopting a hawkish stance and others leaning towards a rate cut within the year [3] - Federal Reserve Governor Waller has emerged as a leading internal candidate to succeed Powell as chairman, particularly given his clear support for rate cuts this year [3] Group 2 - Gold has been fluctuating within the range of 3375 to 3310, showing weak continuation in both bullish and bearish trends, with significant volatility observed [5] - After failing to break through the 3375 level, gold has experienced a substantial pullback to the support level of 3310, and is currently rebounding towards the 3370 mark [5] - The strategy for gold trading includes buying near 3330 with a target of 3345-3353 and selling near 3370 with a target of 3355-3345, indicating a cautious approach to market movements [6] Group 3 - Crude oil has faced pressure at the high of 78, dropping to the support level of 66, and has been in a weak consolidation phase below 70 [8] - There are signs of bottoming out within the 65-70 range, but confirmation of a reversal will require a breakout above the 70 level [8] - The current strategy suggests trading within the 66-70 range, with clear breakout points to follow for further trading decisions [8]