Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that gold prices have surged, breaking the $3400 per ounce mark for the first time since June 17, driven by uncertainties surrounding Trump's trade policies and increasing demand for safe-haven assets [2][3] - Trump's announcement of high tariffs on multiple major economies, effective August 1, has contributed to market uncertainty, which is favorable for gold prices [3] - Speculation about an earlier-than-expected interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve and potential changes in its leadership have heightened market anxiety, further supporting gold [3][4] Group 2 - Federal Reserve Governor Waller's support for a July rate cut is based on rising economic risks and limited inflation impact from tariffs, which has kept the dollar below recent highs, thus supporting precious metals [4] - Market expectations suggest the Fed will remain inactive until September, with rate futures indicating a potential cumulative cut of 50 basis points by year-end [4] - Recent U.S. economic data, including a decline in the Conference Board's leading economic index and an unexpected rise in consumer confidence, may buffer the dollar's decline and influence gold prices [4] Group 3 - Technical analysis indicates that gold prices may face strong resistance in the $3365-$3366 range, and a breakthrough could signal bullish momentum towards the $3400 mark and further test the $3434-$3435 resistance area [4] - On the downside, initial support is seen in the $3325-$3322 range, with a potential deeper correction if prices fall below $3300, targeting the June swing low of $3248-$3247 [5]
黄金触及3400关口 日内涨近50美元！
Jin Shi Shu Ju·2025-07-21 15:25