ASML Just Quietly Booked Billions for Its EUV Machines. Is It Time to Buy the Stock?

Core Viewpoint - ASML is a dominant player in the lithography market, crucial for the production of modern electronics, and has shown significant long-term stock performance despite recent volatility [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - ASML's stock has increased over 600% in the last decade, outperforming the S&P 500's 200% return [2]. - In Q2 2025, ASML reported net sales of 7.7 billion euros and earnings per share (EPS) of 5.9 euros, both exceeding expectations [7]. - The company achieved net bookings of 5.5 billion euros in Q2, a 30% increase over analyst expectations of 4.2 billion euros [8]. Market Position and Demand - ASML's extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines are essential for semiconductor manufacturers, accounting for 48% of Q2 net system sales [6][7]. - The semiconductor industry is expected to see increased capital expenditures driven by trends in AI, driverless cars, and renewable energy [9]. Future Outlook - ASML projects revenue between 44 billion euros and 60 billion euros by 2030, with a midpoint estimate of 52 billion euros, indicating a 60% growth from current expectations of 32.5 billion euros [12]. - The company's price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 31 is below its 10-year average, suggesting potential for long-term investment [10]. Competitive Advantage - ASML maintains a strong market position with high profit margins and a robust balance sheet, making it less vulnerable to competition [13]. - The company is considered well ahead of competitors in the lithography market, which supports its business stability [13].