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ASML: Why I Remain Bullish On The Dutch Lithography Giant
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-07 12:20
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of core values such as excellence, integrity, transparency, and respect for long-term success in the investment sector [1]. Group 1 - The author identifies as a full-time investor with a strong focus on the tech sector and holds a Bachelor of Commerce Degree with Distinction, majoring in Finance [1]. - The author is a lifetime member of the Beta Gamma Sigma International Business Honor Society, indicating a commitment to academic excellence [1]. - The article invites readers to provide constructive criticism and feedback to enhance the quality of the author's work [1]. Group 2 - The author discloses having no stock, option, or similar derivative position in any mentioned companies and no plans to initiate such positions within the next 72 hours [1]. - The article expresses the author's personal opinions and states that no compensation is received for the article, except from Seeking Alpha [1]. - There is a disclaimer regarding the past performance not guaranteeing future results and clarifying that no investment advice is being provided [2].
美媒很困惑:阿斯麦中国市场份额暴跌,被干掉的怎么全是欧美人?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-07 11:46
美媒很困惑:中国市场份额暴跌,为什么阿斯麦放着中国员工不裁,被干掉的全是欧美人? 2026年1月的维尔德霍芬,天气阴冷,但阿斯麦总部的数据却异常刺眼,一边是132亿欧元的单季度订单额,创下公司历史纪录,另一边,却是裁员1700人的 内部通知。 这种"赚钱最多的时候砍人"的操作,在资本市场并不少见,但真正反常的,并不是裁员本身,而是裁员发生的地点。 按很多人熟悉的叙事逻辑,答案本该很简单:出口管制收紧,中国市场受限,收入占比下滑,裁员自然应该从中国区开始。 毕竟,从公开数据看,中国市场的营收占比正从高峰期的三成以上下探到约20%,而且舆论场里反复渲染"2026年是中国半导体被彻底锁死的一年",如果只 按这种线性逻辑推演,裁中国员工,似乎顺理成章。 但真实的裁员地图却完全相反,被裁岗位高度集中在荷兰总部和美国分部,中国区几乎没有受到冲击,换句话说,那个被反复唱衰的区域,反而成了最安全 的部分,这不是偶然,也不是管理层判断失误,而是一次非常冷静的取舍。 阿斯麦的管理层面对的,并不是"哪块市场政治风险更低",而是一个更现实的问题:在当前的技术周期和行业节奏下,哪些岗位是真正不可替代的,哪些岗 位反而在拖慢公司反应速度 ...
The Latest Thoughts From American Technology Companies On AI (2025 Q4) : The Good Investors %
The Good Investors· 2026-02-06 07:53
Core Insights - The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) has significantly impacted various industries, particularly through the introduction of products like DALL-E2 and ChatGPT by OpenAI, which have gained public attention since late 2022 and early 2023 [1] - The latest earnings season for the US stock market highlights the commentary from technology companies regarding AI's influence on their industries and business operations [2] Alphabet (Google) - The Gemini app has reached 750 million monthly active users, up from 650 million in Q3 2025, with increased user engagement following the launch of Gemini 3 in December 2025 [3][4] - Alphabet leads in AI model portfolios across text, vision, and image-to-video, with Gemini 3 Pro achieving the fastest adoption rate in the company's history, processing three times the daily tokens compared to its predecessor [3][6] - Google Cloud's backlog grew by 55% sequentially to $240 billion in Q4 2025, driven by strong demand for AI products, with revenue from AI solutions built by partners increasing nearly 300% year-over-year [7][10] - Google Cloud's revenue grew 48% year-over-year in Q4 2025, with operating margin increasing to 30.1% from 23.7% in Q3 2025 [23][24] - Alphabet's management anticipates significant capital expenditures of $175 billion to $185 billion in 2026 to enhance AI compute capacity and meet customer demands [25][26] AI and Advertising - Gemini is enhancing advertising quality and tools, allowing for better query understanding and ad relevance, with advertisers creating 70 million creative assets in Q4 2025 [19][20] - The introduction of Direct Offers in AI Mode aims to provide exclusive offers to users ready to purchase, indicating a shift towards monetizing AI-driven user experiences [22] Waymo - Waymo raised its largest investment round to date, surpassing 20 million fully autonomous trips and expanding its service to new markets, including Miami and plans for the UK and Japan [17] Amazon - AWS experienced a 24% year-over-year growth in Q4 2025, with a backlog of $244 billion, up 40% year-over-year, driven by increased demand for AI workloads [34] - Amazon's Bedrock service, which facilitates the use of multiple AI models, has reached a multi-billion dollar annualized revenue run rate, with customer spending increasing by 60% sequentially [35] - The launch of NovaForge allows enterprises to integrate their proprietary data into the pre-training phase of AI models, enhancing customization [38] AI Agents and Commerce - Amazon's AI shopping assistant, Rufus, has expanded its capabilities, enabling it to research products and make purchases, with 300 million customers using it in 2025 [44] - The management believes that agentic commerce will enhance consumer experiences, with customers using Rufus being 60% more likely to complete a purchase [44] Industry Trends - Companies are increasingly adopting AI to improve operational efficiency and customer engagement, with successful SaaS companies deeply integrating AI into their workflows [30][31] - The demand for AI compute capacity remains a significant concern for companies, with management focusing on addressing supply chain constraints and optimizing investments [32]
美股芯片股走高,博通涨超4%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-06 01:33
2月5日,美股芯片股走高,博通涨超4%,英特尔涨超3%,台积电、阿斯麦、AMD、应用材料、英伟达 涨超1%。 ...
美股芯片股走高:博通涨超4% 台积电等多股涨超1%
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-02-05 15:02
格隆汇2月5日|美股芯片股走高,其中,博通涨超4%,英特尔涨超3%,台积电、阿斯麦、AMD、应用 材料、英伟达涨超1%。 ...
业绩爆表+扩产加码!这个赛道的机会藏不住了
格隆汇APP· 2026-02-05 10:15
以下文章来源于格隆汇交易学苑 ,作者格隆汇小编 格隆汇交易学苑 . 以基本面为基础,专注于趋势交易 2025 年半导体设备行业交出亮眼答卷: ASML 全年净销售额 327 亿欧元同比增 16% ,未交付订单达 388 亿欧元( EUV 占 255 亿); 三星半导体 业务带动营业利润增 33% , SK 海力士 Q4 营业利润 同 比增长 137% 。 不止海外巨头,国内半导体设备企业同样表现抢眼, 金海通、长川科技 等均发布了业绩大幅预增的公告。亮 眼的业绩背后 ,是 AI 算力爆发、国产替代深化与全球产能扩张三重共振的必然结果,半导体设备作为 " 扩 产先行军 " ,正迎来确定性增长周期。 半导体设备为何持续 " 吸金 " ? 生成式 AI 的规模化应用,直接重构了存储需求格局,堪称 " 存储吞金兽 " 。 美光数据明确显示, AI 服务 器的 DRAM 需求是普通服务器的 8 倍, NAND 需求达 3 倍,单台 AI 服务器的存储需求更是高达 2TB 。 面对 AI 驱动的存储需求激增, HBM (高带宽内存)异军突起,成为需求增长的核心引擎。据行业预测, 2024-2030 年全球 HBM 市场收 ...
业绩爆表+扩产加码,这个赛道的机会藏不住了
3 6 Ke· 2026-02-05 10:12
为填补存储需求缺口,全球头部存储大厂纷纷加码扩产,动作频频。三星2025年资本开支同比激增89%,SK海力士将 全年资本开支上调至203亿美元;国内方面,长鑫存储IPO计划募资295亿元,重点攻坚DDR5和HBM技术与产能。 设备作为晶圆厂扩产的"必需品",自然成为最先受益的环节。随着3D NAND向1000层堆叠技术演进,以及DRAM制程 的结构升级,均为设备行业打开增量空间。 2025年半导体设备行业交出亮眼答卷:ASML全年净销售额327亿欧元同比增16%,未交付订单达388亿欧元(EUV占 255亿);三星半导体业务带动营业利润增33%,SK海力士Q4营业利润同比增长137%。 不止海外巨头,国内半导体设备企业同样表现抢眼,金海通、长川科技等均发布了业绩大幅预增的公告。亮眼的业绩 背后,是AI算力爆发、国产替代深化与全球产能扩张三重共振的必然结果,半导体设备作为"扩产先行军",正迎来确 定性增长周期。 01 半导体设备为何持续"吸金"? 生成式AI的规模化应用,直接重构了存储需求格局,堪称"存储吞金兽"。美光数据明确显示,AI服务器的DRAM需求 是普通服务器的8倍,NAND需求达3倍,单台AI服务器 ...
为何死磕EUV光刻?
3 6 Ke· 2026-02-05 04:29
过去两年是高数值孔径极紫外光刻技术发展的重要篇章。随着首批系统交付客户,以及ASML与imec联 合成立的高数值孔径极紫外光刻实验室的启动——这为整个生态系统提供了早期探索其潜力的机会—— 这项技术正获得真正的发展动力。目前,高数值孔径极紫外光刻技术展现出巨大的潜力,有望实现其在 尺寸微缩、工艺简化和设计灵活性方面的承诺。 2024年,imec在ASML-imec高数值孔径EUV光刻实验室中,利用0.55NA EUV光刻扫描仪(TWINSCAN EXE:5000)实现了16nm间距线/空的单次打印图像,创造了世界纪录。这些图像打印在专为高数值孔径 EUV光刻优化的金属氧化物光刻胶(MOR)上。同样,接触孔(打印在化学放大光刻胶(CAR)上) 和柱状结构(打印在MOR上)也展现了令人瞩目的24nm间距(中心距)分辨率。 然而,最终分辨率仅仅是一个"光学"上的承诺,它反映的是图像在照射到晶圆之前空中成像的质量。在 晶圆曝光过程中,空中成像会在光刻胶中形成图案,这些图案在显影后会被进一步蚀刻到下层材料中。 因此,最终图案化结构的分辨率也取决于图案化过程中使用的材料(光刻胶、下层材料、硬掩模等)和 蚀刻工艺的性能。工 ...
为何死磕EUV光刻?
半导体行业观察· 2026-02-05 01:08
公众号记得加星标⭐️,第一时间看推送不会错过。 过 去 两 年 是 高 数 值 孔 径 极 紫 外 光 刻 技 术 发 展 的 重 要 篇 章 。 随 着 首 批 系 统 交 付 客 户 , 以 及 ASML与imec联合成立的高数值孔径极紫外光刻实验室的启动——这为整个生态系统提供了 早期探索其潜力的机会——这项技术正获得真正的发展动力。目前,高数值孔径极紫外光刻 技术展现出巨大的潜力,有望实现其在尺寸微缩、工艺简化和设计灵活性方面的承诺。 释放这些能力源于一种整体方法,该方法同时优化材料和图案化工艺、掩模和成像技术、光刻增强技 术(例如光学邻近校正 (OPC))、计量和检测以及设计 。这是imec-ASML高数值孔径EUV生态系统 内强大合作的成果,该生态系统涵盖了领先的芯片制造商、设备、材料和光刻胶供应商、掩模公司以 及计量专家。 本文探讨了高数值孔径 EUV 光刻技术背后的关键驱动因素,并重点介绍了光刻和图案化生态系统发 展中的转折点,这些转折点使得该技术得以进行实验验证。 更高的分辨率和图像对比度 与 0.33NA EUV 光刻相比,0.55NA EUV 光刻的数值孔径 (NA) 提高了 67%,因 ...
美股三大指数收盘涨跌不一 AMD跌超17%
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-02-04 22:20
格隆汇2月5日|美股三大指数收盘涨跌不一,道指涨0.53%,纳指跌1.51%,标普500指数跌0.51%,热 门科技股普遍下跌,AMD跌超17%,创2017年以来最差单日表现,英伟达、特斯拉、博通、Meta跌超 3%,谷歌、亚马逊跌超2%,苹果涨超2%。半导体设备与材料、存储概念股、加密矿企跌幅居前,闪迪 跌近16%,美光科技跌超9%,西部数据跌超7%,应用材料、Coinbase跌超6%,阿斯麦跌超3%。减肥药 概念股、住宅地产涨幅居前,礼来涨超10%,安进涨超8%,辉瑞涨近4%。 ...