ASML (ASML) shares rallied 15.4% in the last trading session to close at $687.26. This move can be attributable to notable volume with a higher number of shares being traded than in a typical session. This compares to the stock's 13.7% loss over the past four weeks.The upswing was likely driven by a broader market rally following US President Donald Trump’s announcement of pausing the reciprocal tariffs for 90 days. However, a baseline tariff of 10% on imports would continue to apply.This equipment supplier ...

Semiconductor sales have been steadily increasing over the past year, driven largely by growing enthusiasm for artificial intelligence (AI), especially generative AI. With strong demand from multiple industries, semiconductor revenues have surged over the past few quarters.In fact, the semiconductor industry—an integral part of the broader tech sector—was a major contributor to last year’s stock market rally.Given this scenario, it would be ideal to invest in semiconductor stocks such as NVIDIA Corporation ...

ASML, TSMC, and Supermicro could be worth buying as the market swoons.As the Trump administration's "Liberation Day" tariffs ripple through the global markets, it might seem like a dangerous time to invest in tech stocks. Many of the world's top tech companies rely heavily on cross-border exports and imports, and high tariffs could throttle their sales and crush their margins.However, that panicked sell-off is creating some buying opportunities for patient investors who can tune out the near-term noise. The ...

Core Viewpoint - ASML Holding has faced a challenging year with a 36% decline in stock value, but upcoming Q1 2025 results on April 16 may signal a turnaround for the company [1][2]. Financial Performance - ASML anticipates revenue between 7.5 billion euros and 8 billion euros for Q1 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 46% at the midpoint [3]. - Analysts predict an 85% year-over-year increase in earnings to 5.75 euros per share for Q1 2025 [4]. Market Drivers - The growth in artificial intelligence (AI) is identified as a key driver for the semiconductor industry, leading to increased demand for high-performance computing and high-bandwidth memory products [4][5]. - ASML's extreme ultraviolet (EUV) machines are crucial for manufacturing advanced chips, and their adoption is gaining momentum [5]. Customer Demand - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) has significantly increased orders for ASML's EUV machines, with a nearly 2.7 times increase in quarterly bookings to almost 7.1 billion euros [6][7]. - TSMC accounted for 15% of ASML's revenue last year, and its planned capital spending increase of nearly one-third from $30 billion in 2024 is expected to positively impact ASML [8][9]. Industry Trends - Micron Technology is also increasing its capital expenditures by 73% to $14 billion, primarily to support high-bandwidth memory, which is projected to grow at an annual rate of 42% through 2033 [10]. - The demand for EUV lithography equipment is expected to rise due to the growing need for advanced chips in AI servers [10]. Investment Outlook - ASML is positioned to deliver stronger-than-expected results, which could lead to a bullish trend in its stock price [11]. - Currently trading at 25 times forward earnings, ASML presents a discount compared to the Nasdaq-100 index's earnings multiple of 29, making it an attractive investment opportunity [12].

Core Viewpoint - ASML Holding and Applied Materials are key players in the semiconductor supply chain, with ASML holding a dominant position in EUV lithography and Applied Materials providing a broad range of semiconductor fabrication equipment [1][2]. Group 1: ASML Holding - ASML Holding has a near-monopoly on extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography, crucial for producing advanced semiconductors [3][4]. - The company is investing in next-generation technologies like High-NA EUV, which are essential for smaller semiconductor nodes [5]. - In Q4 2024, ASML reported a 24% increase in revenues and a 30% increase in earnings year-over-year, with a record backlog of €36 billion indicating strong future revenue visibility [6]. - ASML's revenue growth guidance for Q1 2025 is 46.5%, and for the full year 2025, it is 15% [6]. - Geopolitical risks, particularly export restrictions to China, pose challenges, as China accounted for approximately 41% of ASML's lithography shipments in 2024 [7]. Group 2: Applied Materials - Applied Materials is the largest supplier of semiconductor fabrication equipment, with a strong position in AI-driven semiconductor technology [8]. - In fiscal 2024, revenues from advanced semiconductor nodes exceeded $2.5 billion, with expectations to double in fiscal 2025 [9]. - In Q1 fiscal 2025, Applied Materials reported a 7% increase in revenues and a 12% increase in non-GAAP EPS [9]. - The company faces challenges from U.S. export restrictions to China, which are expected to reduce fiscal 2025 revenues by $400 million [10]. - A slowdown in the ICAPS segment could negatively impact Applied Materials' overall performance [11]. Group 3: Price Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, ASML shares have decreased by 10.1%, while Applied Materials shares have declined by 16.7% [13]. - ASML is trading at a forward earnings multiple of 23.56X, below its three-year median of 30.04X, while Applied Materials has a forward sales multiple of 14.13X, significantly lower than its median of 18.14X [14]. - ASML's valuations reflect high growth expectations and improving profitability, suggesting that its premium may be justified if execution is sustained [15]. Group 4: Estimates Comparison - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ASML's 2025 sales and EPS implies year-over-year growth of 12.4% and 21.9%, respectively [18]. - For Applied Materials, the estimates for fiscal 2025 sales and EPS imply a year-over-year increase of 6% and 8.2%, respectively, with recent downward revisions [20]. Conclusion - ASML Holding has a stronger growth profile and a monopoly in EUV technology, making it a more compelling long-term investment compared to Applied Materials, which faces more uncertain growth prospects [21].

Core Insights - The artificial intelligence (AI) market is projected to grow from $244 billion in 2023 to over $1 trillion by 2031, indicating a significant demand for AI chips [1][2] - Recent volatility has led to declines of 26% to 38% in several high-profile AI stocks, presenting potential buying opportunities [2] Group 1: Nvidia - Nvidia has established itself as a leader in AI with its GPU chips, which are essential for training large language models, driving increased chip demand [4] - The company is advancing its AI chip technology with the Hopper and Blackwell microarchitectures, indicating a strong product roadmap [5] - Despite a 26% decline in stock price, analysts are raising revenue estimates for 2025 and 2026, with a PEG ratio of approximately 1.0, suggesting it remains a compelling investment [6] Group 2: Taiwan Semiconductor - Taiwan Semiconductor holds a dominant position in the chip foundry market with a 67% global market share, making it a key player in AI chip manufacturing [7] - The company is well-equipped to manufacture AI chips efficiently, with expectations of a 20% annual growth in the AI chip market through 2029 [8] - Following a 26% stock decline, Taiwan Semiconductor's PEG ratio stands at 0.7, indicating potential for significant investment returns based on expected 32% annualized long-term earnings growth [9] Group 3: ASML - ASML is the sole manufacturer of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, crucial for producing high-end AI chips [11] - The company's stock has seen a pullback of over 38%, attributed to an overheated valuation and fluctuating business with China due to U.S. export restrictions [12] - Analysts project ASML will achieve 19% annual earnings growth, with a current PEG ratio of 1.7, making it an attractive investment opportunity as the AI industry expands [13]

ASML (ASML) could be a solid addition to your portfolio given its recent upgrade to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). An upward trend in earnings estimates -- one of the most powerful forces impacting stock prices -- has triggered this rating change. A company's changing earnings picture is at the core of the Zacks rating. The system tracks the Zacks Consensus Estimate -- the consensus measure of EPS estimates from the sell-side analysts covering the stock -- for the current and following years. The power of a changin ...

Claiming that one company holds the key to all advanced technology is a big statement, but it's true when you consider what ASML (ASML -2.90%) does. It manufactures extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, and it's the only company on the planet with the technology to do so. As a result, it holds a technological monopoly in this space. It's important to note that monopolies aren't necessarily illegal, only if they squash competition with anti- competitive practices. ASML hasn't been accused of these ...

Core Viewpoint - ASML Holdings' stock has experienced a significant decline from its long-term highs above $1,110 per share following a disappointing earnings release [1] Group 1 - The last coverage of ASML Holdings was on October 21st, 2024, indicating a critical analysis of the company's performance [1] - The stock's collapse is attributed to investor reactions to the earnings report, suggesting potential concerns about the company's future performance [1]

Group 1 - ASML is considered a predictable investment in the theme of Artificial Intelligence due to its monopoly-like position in the photolithography market, holding a 100% market share in advanced extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography [1] - The company operates in sectors such as autos, electric vehicles (EV), and IT hardware, which are areas of focus for future investment strategies [1] - The investment style emphasizes buying during pricing dislocations, particularly during earnings seasons, and is based on long-term thematic events like energy transitions and AI infrastructure [1] Group 2 - The analyst has a beneficial long position in ASML shares, indicating confidence in the company's future performance [2] - The article reflects the author's personal opinions and does not involve compensation from ASML or any related business relationships [2]