|安迪|&2025.7.22黄金原油分析：美联储降息预期升温，黄金3393/3395做空！

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices slightly retreated to $3,390 per ounce, ending a two-day rally, but overall upward momentum remains supported by safe-haven demand amid unresolved US-EU trade negotiations and challenges to Federal Reserve policy independence [3] - The technical analysis indicates that gold is still in an upward channel, with a short-term pullback potentially setting the stage for a new rally [3] - The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 50, indicating that bulls are still in control [3] - Short-term resistance is at $3,452 (three-month high), and a breakthrough could lead to further gains towards historical highs of $3,500 and even the channel's upper limit of $3,630 [3] - Initial support is at the 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $3,358, with a breakdown pointing to the channel's lower limit and the 50-day moving average at $3,316 [3] - The gold market is currently at the intersection of increasing macro uncertainty and technical consolidation [3] - Despite a short-term pressure from a rebound in the US dollar, factors such as stalled trade negotiations and escalating political pressure on the Federal Reserve continue to provide strong medium-term upward momentum [3] - It is expected that gold prices will oscillate between $3,350 and $3,450, and if safe-haven sentiment persists, a breakthrough above key resistance could lead to a move towards $3,500 [3] Group 2: Trading Strategies - A trading strategy suggests looking for a short position in gold within the range of $3,393 to $3,395, with a stop-loss above $3,405 and a target at $3,375 to $3,373 [5] - Another recommendation indicates a long position at $3,360, with a stop-loss at the morning low of $3,344 and a target of $3,382 [6]