Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-07-22 06:32Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the increase in the minimum express delivery price in Yiwu is expected to alleviate price pressure in the third quarter, but it does not address the fundamental issues of overcapacity and service homogenization in the industry [1][3] - The average delivery price in Yiwu has been raised by 0.1 RMB to 1.2 RMB, effective from July 18 [1] - Bank of America believes that if there is no industry consolidation, any increase in average prices will not be sustainable [1][3] Group 2 - Bank of America has raised the expected earnings per share for YTO Express, Shentong, and Jitu by 6-7% for the years 2025-2027 [2] - Target prices for these companies have been increased by 18-32% based on the mixed expectations for 2025/2026 [2] - The company maintains a neutral rating on Zhongtong due to slow market share growth but reasonable valuation [2] Group 3 - The structural negative impact on average price and market share control is highlighted, indicating that the price war is unlikely to stop as long as overcapacity exists [3] - Merchants can circumvent the price control by sending packages to nearby areas without such controls [3] - Bank of America suggests that the focus should be on improving the welfare of couriers rather than merely adjusting price controls [3]