Should You Buy Newmont Stock Ahead of Q2 Earnings Report?

Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corporation (NEM) is expected to report strong second-quarter results on July 24, 2025, driven by higher gold prices despite facing cost pressures [1][6]. Financial Performance Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter earnings is $1.04 per share, reflecting a 44.4% year-over-year increase [2]. - The consensus estimate for second-quarter revenues is $4.62 billion, indicating a 4.9% increase from the previous year [2]. - Newmont has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise average of 32.4%, having beaten estimates in three of the last four quarters [3]. Earnings Prediction - Newmont has an Earnings ESP of +4.42% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [4][5]. Factors Influencing Q2 Results - Higher gold prices are anticipated to positively impact Newmont's revenue and margins, with average realized gold prices estimated at $2,953 per ounce, a 25.8% year-over-year increase [6][8]. - Gold prices reached a record high of $3,500 per ounce on April 22, 2025, and closed the second quarter above $3,300 per ounce, marking a 29% increase year-to-date [7]. Cost Considerations - Newmont's all-in sustaining costs (AISC) for Q1 were $1,651 per ounce, with expectations for Q2 AISC to be around $1,657 per ounce, reflecting a 6.1% year-over-year increase [10]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Newmont's shares have increased by 27.2% over the past year, underperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's 33.4% rise but outperforming the S&P 500's 13.2% increase [11]. - The company is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 12.32, slightly above the peer group average of 12.04 [14]. Strategic Positioning - Newmont's focus on Tier 1 assets and divestiture of non-core businesses is expected to enhance its growth outlook and profitability [9][15]. - The acquisition of Newcrest Mining Limited is anticipated to create significant value and synergies for shareholders [15][16]. Investment Thesis - Newmont's strong liquidity and cash flow generation position it well for growth, making it an attractive investment opportunity ahead of its earnings announcement [16][17].