Group 1 - Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM) is the largest listed gold miner by market capitalization after Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) [1] - The company showed promise in April but has not met expectations since then [1] Group 2 - Manika, a macroeconomist with over 20 years of experience, runs the profile Long Term Tips (LTT) focusing on opportunities in the green economy [1] - The investing group Green Growth Giants takes a deeper dive into opportunities presented by the green economy segment [1]

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Investors with an interest in Mining - Gold stocks have likely encountered both Newmont Corporation (NEM) and Royal Gold (RGLD) . But which of these two stocks is more attractive to value investors? We'll need to take a closer look to find out.The best way to find great value stocks is to pair a strong Zacks Rank with an impressive grade in the Value category of our Style Scores system. The proven Zacks Rank puts an emphasis on earnings estimates and estimate revisions, while our Style Scores work to identi ...

Core Insights - Newmont Corporation (NEM) and Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) are significant players in the gold mining industry, with global operations and diversified portfolios. Gold prices, while down from April 2025 highs, remain favorable due to safe-haven demand amid trade and geopolitical uncertainties, currently above $3,300 per ounce [1][2]. Gold Market Dynamics - Gold prices have increased approximately 28% this year, driven by aggressive trade policies, global trade tensions, and central bank accumulation of gold reserves. Prices peaked at $3,500 per ounce on April 22, 2025, amid calls for interest rate cuts [3]. Newmont Corporation (NEM) - Newmont is actively investing in growth projects, including the Tanami Expansion 2 in Australia and the Ahafo North expansion in Ghana, aimed at increasing production capacity and extending mine life [5]. - The acquisition of Newcrest Mining Limited has enhanced Newmont's portfolio, generating $500 million in annual run-rate synergies and creating a multi-decade production profile [6]. - Newmont has divested non-core assets, generating total after-tax cash proceeds of $4.3 billion, which includes $1.7 billion from three assets sold in March 2025 and $850 million from additional sales [7]. - The company reported liquidity of $8.8 billion at the end of Q1 2025, with operating cash flow increasing 162% year-over-year to around $2 billion [8]. - Newmont returned $1 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases and reduced debt by $1 billion since the beginning of 2025, maintaining a long-term debt-to-capitalization ratio of around 20% [10]. Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) - Kinross has a strong production profile with key projects like Great Bear in Ontario and Round Mountain Phase X in Nevada, expected to enhance production and cash flow [11]. - Tasiast and Paracatu are the main contributors to Kinross's cash flow, with Tasiast being the lowest-cost asset and achieving record production in 2024 [12]. - Kinross ended Q1 2025 with liquidity of approximately $2.3 billion and generated record free cash flows of around $1.3 billion in 2024 [13]. - The company repaid $800 million of debt in 2024, reducing net debt to around $540 million, with a long-term debt-to-capitalization ratio of 14.4% [14]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, NEM stock has increased by 46.5%, while KGC stock has risen by 66.8%, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's increase of 54.4% [15]. - NEM trades at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 12.59, approximately 10% below the industry average of 14X, while KGC trades at a premium with a multiple of 13.37 [18][20]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NEM's 2025 sales and EPS indicates a year-over-year rise of 2% and 20.1%, respectively, while KGC's estimates imply growth of 15.3% and 63.2% [21][24]. Investment Considerations - Both Newmont and Kinross are well-positioned to benefit from favorable gold prices, demonstrating strong financial performance and commitment to shareholder returns. Newmont is viewed as a more attractive investment due to its valuation and higher dividend yield [25].

Core Insights - Newmont Corporation (NEM) achieved a record first-quarter free cash flow of $1.2 billion, a significant improvement from a negative $74 million in the same period last year, driven by enhanced operational efficiency and a strong Tier 1 portfolio [1][7] - Despite the strong first-quarter performance, sustainability concerns exist for the second quarter due to non-core asset divestitures, increased tax payments, and higher capital expenditures [2][3][7] - The anticipated decline in free cash flow is attributed to long-term growth initiatives rather than deteriorating fundamentals, supported by a solid balance sheet [3][7] Peer Comparisons - Barrick Mining Corporation reported a free cash flow of $375 million for the first quarter, reflecting a nearly 12-fold year-over-year increase due to higher operating cash flows from increased gold and copper prices [4] - Agnico Eagle Mines Limited generated first-quarter free cash flows of $594 million, up approximately 50% year over year, supported by strong gold prices and operational results [5] Market Performance - Newmont's shares have increased by 48.5% year to date, compared to a 53.9% rise in the Zacks Mining – Gold industry, largely driven by the rally in gold prices [6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NEM's earnings in 2025 and 2026 implies year-over-year increases of 20.1% and 11.7%, respectively, with EPS estimates trending higher over the past 60 days [8] - NEM is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 12.59, approximately 10% below the industry average of 13.97 [9]

Factors Influencing Newmont's Stock Movements in Recent Months Newmont (NYSE:NEM)'s stock has experienced quite a bit of volatility this year. It began the year on a weak note, primarily impacted by declining gold prices and concerns regarding costs and production delays. However, things started to improve as gold prices surged—thanks to global uncertainty and increased purchases by central banks. Thus far in 2025, NEM has made a solid recovery, regaining a significant portion of its previous losses. Althou ...

Core Insights - Zacks Premium offers tools for investors to enhance their stock market strategies and confidence [1] - The Zacks Style Scores are designed to help investors select stocks with the highest potential to outperform the market in the short term [2] Zacks Style Scores Overview - The Style Scores categorize stocks into four types: Value Score, Growth Score, Momentum Score, and VGM Score, each focusing on different investment strategies [3][4][5][6] - Value Score emphasizes identifying undervalued stocks using financial ratios [3] - Growth Score focuses on a company's future earnings and financial health [4] - Momentum Score assesses stocks based on price trends and earnings estimate changes [5] - VGM Score combines all three styles to identify stocks with the best overall potential [6] Zacks Rank and Performance - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary model that uses earnings estimate revisions to guide investment decisions [7] - Stocks rated 1 (Strong Buy) have historically delivered an average annual return of +25.41% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [8] - There are over 800 stocks rated 1 or 2, making it essential for investors to utilize Style Scores to narrow down choices [9] Stock Example: Newmont Corporation - Newmont Corporation is a leading gold producer with significant reserves and production capabilities [11] - The company holds a 1 (Strong Buy) Zacks Rank and has a VGM Score of A, indicating strong investment potential [11] - Newmont's Growth Style Score is B, with a projected year-over-year earnings growth of 20.1% for the current fiscal year [12] - Recent analyst revisions have increased earnings estimates, further supporting Newmont's strong performance outlook [12]

Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corporation (NEM) has experienced a 5.5% decline in share price over the past month, underperforming the S&P 500, raising questions about its upcoming earnings release and potential for recovery [1] Group 1: Earnings and Estimates - The consensus estimate for Newmont has shifted upward by 7.73% over the past month, indicating positive revisions in earnings expectations [2] - The most recent earnings report is crucial for understanding the catalysts affecting the stock's performance [1] Group 2: VGM Scores - Newmont holds a Growth Score of B, but has a low Momentum Score of F, while achieving a Value Score of B, placing it in the second quintile for value investment strategy [3] - The aggregate VGM Score for Newmont is B, which is significant for investors not focused on a single strategy [3] Group 3: Outlook - The upward trend in estimates suggests a promising outlook for Newmont, supported by a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating expectations for above-average returns in the coming months [4]

Market Overview - Wall Street experienced a strong bull run in 2023 and 2024, but 2025 has shown mixed results due to concerns over persistent inflation and the Federal Reserve's uncertain stance on interest rates after a 1% cut in the benchmark lending rate last year [1] - Severe volatility has affected Wall Street since early April, primarily due to the implementation of reciprocal tariff policies by the Trump administration, with baseline tariffs at 10% but actual rates exceeding 70% for several major trading partners [2] - Retaliatory tariffs from other countries have raised fears of a global trade war, although some trade negotiations have been settled and others are ongoing [3] Company Highlights Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) - Philip Morris has shown strong pricing power and is expanding its smoke-free product portfolio, aiming to become substantially smoke-free by 2030 [7] - The company anticipates robust growth in 2025, with a projected 2% increase in volume and smoke-free products expected to grow by 12-14% [8] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 8.1% and 13.7%, respectively, with a stock price increase of 44.7% year to date [9] Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. (SFM) - Sprouts Farmers is focusing on product innovation, e-commerce, and private label offerings, which have contributed to better-than-expected fourth-quarter 2024 results [10] - The company expects net sales to rise between 10.5% and 12.5% in 2025, with comparable sales anticipated to increase by 4.5-6.5% [11] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 13.7% and 35.5%, respectively, with a stock price surge of 32.2% year to date [12] Newmont Corp. (NEM) - Newmont is progressing with growth projects, including the Tanami expansion and the acquisition of Newcrest, which enhances its portfolio and synergies [13] - The Ahafo North project has received full funding approval, with commercial production expected to start in the second half of 2025, involving an investment of $950 million to $1,050 million [14] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 2% and 12.6%, respectively, with a stock price increase of 40.5% year to date [15]

Group 1 - Newmont is positioned as one of the leading mining companies globally, particularly in gold production [1] - The company is expanding its strategic role in copper, which is increasingly recognized as a key metal [1]